This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Timo Meier

26 goals on 239 shots — a 10.9 per cent rate — on a 53.7 per cent chance share.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	SJS	34	3	3	6	+1	10	0	0	1	85	3.5	12:28
2017-18	SJS	81	21	15	36	+2	51	3	0	4	210	10.0	14:52
2018-19	SJS	78	30	36	66	+9	55	6	0	2	250	12.0	16:58
2019-20	SJS	70	22	27	49	-22	42	2	0	2	199	11.1	17:17
2020-21	SJS	54	12	19	31	-5	22	2	0	0	155	7.7	16:03
2021-22	SJS	77	35	41	76	-3	54	12	0	8	326	10.7	19:09
2022-23	SJS/NJD	78	40	26	66	-19	43	17	0	5	327	12.2	19:23
2023-24	NJD	69	28	24	52	-28	45	10	0	4	207	13.5	17:36
2024-25	NJD	80	26	27	53	+7	58	7	0	5	239	10.9	17:52
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	621	217	218	435	-58	380	59	0	31	1998	10.9	17:10

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 goals and 27 assists in 80 games for 53 points, plus-7, on 17:52 a night with 239 shots and 58 penalty minutes.

54.2 per cent at five-on-five, the 87th percentile, with on-ice goals of 45-30 against an expected 53.6-45.3 — nine goals that did not arrive at one end, and fifteen fewer conceded than the chances called for at the other. 10.9 per cent shooting on that volume is well below his career rate.

The Finesse Game

A heavy release and a willingness to use it from anywhere — 239 shots is a top-twenty volume in the league and a third of them come from inside 20 feet.

27 assists is functional. He is a shooter who protects the puck well below the goal line and does not create for other people; the value is in generating volume and being difficult to remove from the offensive zone.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 220, and among the strongest wingers in the league on a puck. He wins the wall against defencemen, forechecks with real weight, and is very difficult to knock off possession.

58 penalty minutes over 80 games is a moderate rate for the style. The durability has been excellent — four consecutive seasons above 76 games.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, a 40-goal season in San Jose, and a large contract here that has produced 26, 28 and 26 goals.

At 29 the projection is 30 goals rather than 40. The 16-goal shortfall against expectation says last season was closer to the former than the totals suggest.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
14:21 a game at five-on-five, 90th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line
“He wins the wall against defencemen, forechecks with real weight, and is very difficult to knock off possession.”
forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck
“forechecks with real weight”
hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand
“is very difficult to knock off possession”
playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“27 assists is functional. He is a shooter who protects the puck well below the goal line and does not create for other people”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,148 minutes

Expected goals: 54.2%; 87th pct
Shot attempts: 52.8%; 81st pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 30 against. Expected: 53.6 and 45.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

91st

Numbers

87th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed: 22.4 mph; 59th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.56 a game
Distance: 2.88 miles a game
Hardest shot: 90.5 mph; 82nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1148 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: NJD took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.2% — 3.5 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,148 minutes at five-on-five — 81st percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Nico Hischier	54.3%	54.1%	52.3%
Dawson Mercer	53.3%	54.9%	46.3%
Stefan Noesen	58.0%	52.0%	48.6%

54.3% together, 54.1% for him apart and 52.3% for Hischier apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

375 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 27 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 33% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.