Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

13

Nico Hischier

New Jersey Devils Center

A first-overall centre who takes 56 per cent of his shots from inside twenty feet and kills penalties.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18NJD82203252+102610218011.116:19
2018-19NJD6917304702430316010.618:06
2019-20NJD58142236-161221112311.418:04
2020-21NJD216511-943104413.618:31
2021-22NJD70213960-11740215313.719:21
2022-23NJD81314980+331073925612.119:17
2023-24NJD71274067-51261418214.819:29
2024-25 so far
Career452136217353+1210526621109812.418:25

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

71 games, 27 goals and 40 assists for 67 points, 6 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 12 penalty minutes, 19:29 a night and minus-5. He took 53.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 980 minutes, the 79th percentile, and his ice went 55-49 against an expectation of 50.64-44.09.

Four goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and five more conceded than they called for. Sixty-seven points on the hard matchup, and a minus-5 that belongs to the crease.

The Finesse Game

182 shots at a median of 17 feet with 56 per cent of them from inside 20, converted at 14.8 per cent against a career 12.39.

217 career assists in 452 games. That shot median is the shortest of any top-six forward on this roster and it is the whole difference between him and Jack Hughes — one takes the puck to the middle and shoots, the other takes it wide and passes.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 200 and holds the puck below the goal line without needing to hit anybody.

12 penalty minutes in 71 games at nineteen and a half a night is a remarkable rate for a centre with this assignment. He takes the defensive-zone draw, kills penalties, and has 6 career shorthanded goals.

The Intangibles

First overall in 2017 out of Naters, seven seasons, 452 games and 353 points, all of it for one organisation, and the captaincy since 2021.

He is 25 and is the second-best forward on his own club, which is the reason nobody outside New Jersey talks about him. A two-way first-line centre who plays every situation is worth more than the point total.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 980 minutes

Expected goals
53.5%
80th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.6%
82nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 55 for, 49 against. Expected: 50.6 and 44.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
97th
Numbers
80th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 980 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NJD took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.5% — 2.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 980 minutes at five-on-five — 55th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jesper Bratt57.1%46.7%55.9%
Ondrej Palat58.7%49.6%51.7%
John Marino53.2%53.6%47.6%

57.1% together, 46.7% for him apart and 55.9% for Bratt apart. He was worse away from Bratt, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Bratt did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

257 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 56% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.