This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Tim Stützle

79 points and the 81st percentile of chances, on ice for 28 goals against an expectation of 46.89 — the largest finishing hole on any forward in this chapter.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2020-21	OTT	53	12	17	29	-18	14	4	0	2	111	10.8	15:44
2021-22	OTT	79	22	36	58	-27	37	7	1	4	176	12.5	18:25
2022-23	OTT	78	39	51	90	-3	54	10	3	3	228	17.1	21:16
2023-24	OTT	75	18	52	70	-17	28	1	0	2	192	9.4	21:07
2024-25	OTT	82	24	55	79	0	46	5	0	2	162	14.8	19:49
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	367	115	211	326	-65	179	27	4	13	869	13.2	19:30

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

24 goals and 55 assists in 82 games — 79 points at 19:49 a night, even on the year, with 46 penalty minutes.

53.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 81st percentile. And his ice came out 51-50 against an expectation of 50.04-42.97. Nineteen goals of scoring simply did not arrive, which is the single largest gap on any forward here and is not a thing a player controls.

The Finesse Game

The skating is the best on the club and among the better first steps in the league. He gains the line under control at speed, he does not have to slow down to make a play, and he beats a defenceman wide as a matter of routine.

162 shots at a median of 24 feet with 40 per cent from inside 20 — he goes to the middle. 55 assists says the instinct is still to pass, and the shot is good enough that it should not be. Two seasons before last he scored 39 goals; he has not been near that since.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 187 and neither heavy nor soft. He takes contact to hold onto the puck and he does not seek it out, which at his speed is the correct trade.

46 penalty minutes in a full season is a man who is not fouling to survive. He is not going to win a puck on the wall against a defenceman and the club has never asked him to.

The Intangibles

Third overall in 2020, 367 games, 326 points, and signed long. He is 23 and has been the best forward on this roster since he was 20.

The record is a minus-65 and a first playoff series, lost in six. The numbers underneath the last one say he was badly served by them.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
53.8% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 48.5% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.3, 90th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
14:39 a game at five-on-five, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
65% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control
“He gains the line under control at speed, he does not have to slow down to make a play, and he beats a defenceman wide as a matter of routine.”
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“55 assists says the instinct is still to pass, and the shot is good enough that it should not be.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He is not going to win a puck on the wall against a defenceman and the club has never asked him to.”
fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step
“46 penalty minutes in a full season is a man who is not fouling to survive.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,201 minutes

Expected goals: 53.8%; 84th pct
Shot attempts: 54.8%; 91st pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 50 against. Expected: 50.0 and 43.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

88th

Numbers

84th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed: 23.7 mph; 97th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 4.63 a game
Distance: 3.33 miles a game
Hardest shot: 90.5 mph; 82nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1201 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: OTT took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.8% — 3.6 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,201 minutes at five-on-five — 85th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Claude Giroux	54.1%	53.5%	45.0%
Brady Tkachuk	52.7%	54.8%	57.4%
Thomas Chabot	58.7%	50.0%	49.3%

54.1% together, 53.5% for him apart and 45.0% for Giroux apart. Giroux was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Giroux than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

230 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 25 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.