This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Tim Stützle
Ottawa Senators Center
The 2nd-best penalty differential of 393 forwards at twenty, with forty-five per cent of his points on the power play and a minus-27.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | OTT | 53 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 111 | 10.8 | 15:44 |
| 2021-22 | OTT | 79 | 22 | 36 | 58 | -27 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 176 | 12.5 | 18:25 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 132 | 34 | 53 | 87 | -45 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 287 | 11.8 | 17:20 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
79 games, 22 goals and 36 assists for 58 points at 18:25 a night, minus-27, thirty-seven penalty minutes, 176 shots. Third overall in 2020, two seasons, 132 games, 87 points, a career minus-45.
The Finesse Game
1.86 penalties drawn per 60 is the 9th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, and the net of plus-1.16 is the 2nd-best of them behind only Connor McDavid.
Forty-five per cent of his points came on the power play, the 97th percentile, from 3:14 a night on a unit that rated 8th in the league. 1.57 even-strength points per 60 is the 36th percentile.
Take the power play away and there is a below-average even-strength scorer here, which at twenty is a description rather than a verdict.
7.26 shots per 60 is the 49th percentile at 12.5 per cent, fifty-six per cent from the slot at a 23-foot median. Ordinary in every direction.
48.6 per cent of the expected goals, out of 63.1 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 24th-highest of 652 skaters. Twenty-three men in the league had a softer chair.
His ice went 41-51 against an expectation of 45.15-47.69 — four goals short going forward and three more against than the model asked, and the minus-27 is a club that finished 26th more than it is him.
The Physical Game
5.16 hits per 60 is the 63rd percentile and 2.15 blocks the 74th at 6-0 and 187 pounds — above what the size predicts on both counts.
Thirty-seven penalty minutes in seventy-nine games.
The Intangibles
8.3 bursts over 20 mph per 60 is the 79th percentile among forwards and 10.05 miles per 60 the 85th, at twenty years old. 22.8 mph is the 73rd and 95.3 mph is the 86th for shot speed.
He is 20 with 132 NHL games and 87 points. The penalties drawn, the skating workload and the shot speed are three genuine assets and the even-strength rate is not one of them yet.
The deployment is the caution. Twenty-fourth-softest of 652 and a below-even chance share out of it is the number this report will want to see move before it calls him a first-line centre.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
79 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- sheltered· is started in the attacking end
63% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 95th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
“1.86 penalties drawn per 60 is the 9th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, and the net of plus-1.16 is the 2nd-best of them behind only Connor McDavid.”
“8.3 bursts over 20 mph per 60 is the 79th percentile among forwards and 10.05 miles per 60 the 85th, at twenty years old.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,102 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.6%
- 44th pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.8%
- 53rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 41 for, 51 against. Expected: 45.1 and 47.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 37 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 79 games
- Top speed
- 22.8 mph
- 82nd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.56 a game
- Distance
- 3.09 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 95.3 mph
- 91st pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 1102 minutes at five-on-five
- Alex Formentonoff the roster45%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- OTT took 47.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.6% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,102 minutes at five-on-five — 77th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Formenton | 48.4% | 48.9% | 44.6% |
| Thomas Chabot | 53.6% | 46.2% | 47.1% |
| Artem Zub | 45.4% | 50.3% | 47.8% |
48.4% together, 48.9% for him apart and 44.6% for Formenton apart. Formenton was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Formenton than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
245 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.