This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Steven Stamkos

27 goals in his first season outside Tampa, 14 of them on the power play, and a minus-36 that is the worst figure in this edition.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2008-09	TBL	79	23	23	46	-13	39	9	0	1	181	12.7	14:56
2009-10	TBL	82	51	44	95	-2	38	24	1	5	297	17.2	20:33
2010-11	TBL	82	45	46	91	+3	74	17	0	8	272	16.5	20:12
2011-12	TBL	82	60	37	97	+7	66	12	0	12	303	19.8	22:01
2012-13	TBL	48	29	28	57	-4	32	10	0	2	157	18.5	22:01
2013-14	TBL	37	25	15	40	+9	18	9	1	5	124	20.2	20:15
2014-15	TBL	82	43	29	72	+2	49	13	0	6	268	16.0	19:22
2015-16	TBL	77	36	28	64	+3	38	14	1	8	216	16.7	19:45
2016-17	TBL	17	9	11	20	+3	14	3	0	1	58	15.5	17:53
2017-18	TBL	78	27	59	86	+18	72	15	0	1	212	12.7	18:46
2018-19	TBL	82	45	53	98	+4	37	19	2	6	234	19.2	18:18
2019-20	TBL	57	29	37	66	+14	22	10	0	6	176	16.5	18:25
2020-21	TBL	38	17	17	34	+4	16	10	0	1	91	18.7	18:16
2021-22	TBL	81	42	64	106	+24	36	16	0	11	241	17.4	18:29
2022-23	TBL	81	34	50	84	-5	46	14	0	6	240	14.2	19:01
2023-24	TBL	79	40	41	81	-21	34	19	0	6	262	15.3	18:14
2024-25	NSH	82	27	26	53	-36	48	14	0	6	174	15.5	18:00
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	1164	582	608	1190	+10	679	228	5	91	3506	16.6	19:05

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 27 goals and 26 assists for 53 points at 18:00 a night, on 174 shots at 15.52 per cent — the best conversion rate among the club’s regulars. Fourteen of the 27 goals came on the power play, which leaves thirteen at even strength across a full season.

Minus-36 is the worst figure in this edition, and the underlying picture is bad without being that bad: a 47 per cent chance share, on-ice goals of 37-52 against an expected 43.40-48.31. His line finished nineteen goals short of what it created and two goals worse than it deserved at the other end. This was the first year of the four-year contract signed in July 2024, after sixteen seasons and two Stanley Cups in Tampa Bay.

The Finesse Game

The one-timer from the left circle remains among the two or three most dangerous shots in hockey, and fourteen power-play goals at 35 is the proof. Everything about it is intact — the weight transfer, the release without a windup, the willingness to shoot into a lane that has not fully opened.

At even strength almost nothing else is. 28 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet and 18 per cent from beyond 40, which is a man taking what the slot gives him rather than a man generating it. He no longer separates from a defenceman with the puck and he does not win a race to a loose one. The hockey sense is exceptional and it is now doing all of the work.

The Physical Game

193 pounds and never a physical player, and at 35 the puck protection that used to compensate has thinned. He is moved off possession by defencemen who could not have done it five years ago.

48 penalty minutes is high for him, and most of it is stick fouls — the signature of a man arriving late.

The Intangibles

82 games at 35, which very few expected, and a fourteen-goal power-play season on a unit that finished 9th in the league.

He was signed to be the settling presence in a room full of new arrivals, and instead he became the most visible face of the worst season in the club’s modern history. Three years remain. The power play is where this contract gets earned; the even-strength minutes are the question nobody has answered.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
65% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 95th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“193 pounds and never a physical player, and at 35 the puck protection that used to compensate has thinned.”
hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand
“He is moved off possession by defencemen who could not have done it five years ago.”
fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step
“48 penalty minutes is high for him, and most of it is stick fouls — the signature of a man arriving late.”
leadershiphe lacks it· the room, and who holds it
“He was signed to be the settling presence in a room full of new arrivals, and instead he became the most visible face of the worst season in the club's modern history.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,072 minutes

Expected goals: 47.3%; 29th pct
Shot attempts: 48.3%; 36th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 52 against. Expected: 43.4 and 48.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

36th

Numbers

29th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed: 24.2 mph; 99th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.67 a game
Distance: 2.81 miles a game
Hardest shot: 93.8 mph; 94th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1072 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: NSH took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.3% — 1.9 below the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,072 minutes at five-on-five — 71st percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Jonathan Marchessault	49.6%	45.1%	45.7%
Filip Forsberg	48.6%	45.9%	48.8%
Brady Skjei	46.4%	47.8%	47.2%

49.6% together, 45.1% for him apart and 45.7% for Marchessault apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

255 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 28 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.