Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Steven Stamkos

Photo by Lisa Gansky, CC BY-SA 2.0

Steven Stamkos

Nashville Predators Center #91

42 goals at 36, and a minus-17 that says nothing about him.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2008-09TBL79232346-133990118112.714:56
2009-10TBL82514495-238241529717.220:33
2010-11TBL82454691+374170827216.520:12
2011-12TBL82603797+7661201230319.822:01
2012-13TBL48292857-432100215718.522:01
2013-14TBL37251540+91891512420.220:15
2014-15TBL82432972+249130626816.019:22
2015-16TBL77362864+338141821616.719:45
2016-17TBL1791120+3143015815.517:53
2017-18TBL78275986+1872150121212.718:46
2018-19TBL82455398+437192623419.218:18
2019-20TBL57293766+1422100617616.518:25
2020-21TBL38171734+41610019118.718:16
2021-22TBL814264106+24361601124117.418:29
2022-23TBL81345084-546140624014.219:01
2023-24TBL79404181-2134190626215.318:14
2024-25NSH82272653-3648140617415.518:00
2025-26NSH82422466-17581401020620.417:50
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—12466246321256-77372425101371216.818:60

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

42 goals and 24 assists in all 82 games — 66 points, minus-17, at 17:50 a night with 14 power-play goals. His 1,246th career game and his 624th goal.

The Finesse Game

The one-timer remains the most reliable weapon of the last 20 years. 307 unblocked attempts, 41 goals, median 26 feet with 38 per cent from inside 20 — he has moved closer to the net as the legs have gone, and the conversion rate has held.

14 power-play goals at 36 years old, from a left circle he has owned since he was 20.

24 assists is the lowest full-season total of his career and reflects a player who is now a finisher and nothing else.

The Physical Game

6-1, 193, and the skating has genuinely declined. 58 penalty minutes is more than he usually takes and reads as frustration on a losing team.

He cannot forecheck at pace any more and is not asked to.

The Intangibles

49.9 per cent of the expected goals, 54th percentile — dead average, and better than most of this roster.

The minus-17 is a club that conceded the sixth-most expected goals in the league, not a man who scored 42.

8 points in his last 10, 6 of them goals. He is 36, 1,256 points, 624 goals, and a Stanley Cup captain who came to Nashville for a contending window that has not opened. The scoring is intact. Almost nothing around it is.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    6 of 62 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 9.7%, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,097 minutes

Expected goals
49.9%
54th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.5%
64th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 49 against. Expected: 48.6 and 48.7.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
73rd
Numbers
54th

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
83rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.51 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.72 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.0 mph
97th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

8

points in his last 10 games — 6 goals, 2 assists, 30 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1097 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
NSH took 47.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.9% — 2.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,097 minutes at five-on-five — 71st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan O'Reilly51.5%47.7%48.7%
Brady Skjei51.3%49.1%45.7%
Roman Josi48.9%50.7%47.9%

51.5% together, 47.7% for him apart and 48.7% for O'Reilly apart. He was worse away from O'Reilly, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than O'Reilly did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

307 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 41 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.