This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Jonathan Marchessault
Nashville Predators Center
A Conn Smythe winner two years earlier: 21 goals in his first Nashville season after 42 in his last Vegas one.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-13 | CBJ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 10:57 |
| 2014-15 | TBL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33.3 | 11:57 |
| 2015-16 | TBL | 45 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -10 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 8.6 | 12:05 |
| 2016-17 | FLA | 75 | 30 | 21 | 51 | -21 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 193 | 15.5 | 16:55 |
| 2017-18 | VGK | 77 | 27 | 48 | 75 | +36 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 268 | 10.1 | 17:30 |
| 2018-19 | VGK | 82 | 25 | 34 | 59 | +2 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 278 | 9.0 | 18:09 |
| 2019-20 | VGK | 66 | 22 | 25 | 47 | +6 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 235 | 9.4 | 17:17 |
| 2020-21 | VGK | 55 | 18 | 26 | 44 | +19 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 176 | 10.2 | 17:25 |
| 2021-22 | VGK | 76 | 30 | 36 | 66 | +3 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 251 | 11.9 | 17:34 |
| 2022-23 | VGK | 76 | 28 | 29 | 57 | +2 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 234 | 12.0 | 17:08 |
| 2023-24 | VGK | 82 | 42 | 27 | 69 | -2 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 266 | 15.8 | 17:54 |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 78 | 21 | 35 | 56 | -29 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 206 | 10.2 | 17:59 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 716 | 251 | 292 | 543 | +6 | 348 | 58 | 0 | 43 | 2191 | 11.5 | 17:11 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
78 games, 21 goals and 35 assists for 56 points at 17:59 a night, on 206 shots at 10.19 per cent. 37 penalty minutes. Minus-29.
A 48 per cent chance share, with on-ice goals of 35-45 against an expected 40.46-44.26 — eleven goals short at one end, two better than deserved at the other. 206 shots and 21 goals is a five-point drop in conversion from the season before on almost identical volume. This was the first year of the five-year contract signed in July 2024, after winning the Stanley Cup and the Conn Smythe with Vegas in 2023 and scoring 42 goals in 2023-24.
The Finesse Game
The release is quick and comes out of a low, compact stance, and at 5-9 he creates his own shooting lane by changing the angle rather than by beating a man outright. 41 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet, which for a winger of his size is a considerable amount of traffic to stand in.
The playmaking is genuinely good and consistently underrated — 35 assists on a club that scored 214 goals. He sees the weak-side option before the puck arrives. What has gone is the first step that made him dangerous off the rush in Vegas.
The Physical Game
185 pounds, and the game has always been built on being difficult to catch rather than difficult to move. He goes to the net front and he is removed from it by anybody who decides to.
37 penalty minutes, most of them earned competing in places his size does not entitle him to be.
The Intangibles
He has been written off at every stage of a career that began undrafted, continued through waivers, and turned on an expansion draft — and he has scored twenty goals in nine of the last ten seasons. That is the relevant history.
A 34-year-old on a five-year contract coming off his worst full season in six is the relevant risk, and both things are true at once.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
78 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- sheltered· is started in the attacking end
63% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
“The playmaking is genuinely good and consistently underrated — 35 assists on a club that scored 214 goals.”
“41 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet, which for a winger of his size is a considerable amount of traffic to stand in.”
“He goes to the net front and he is removed from it by anybody who decides to.”
“He has been written off at every stage of a career that began undrafted, continued through waivers, and turned on an expansion draft”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,020 minutes
- Expected goals
- 47.8%
- 33rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 48.2%
- 35th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 45 against. Expected: 40.5 and 44.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 33 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 78 games
- Top speed
- 21.2 mph
- 13th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.47 a game
- Distance
- 2.92 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.0 mph
- 72nd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 1020 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- NSH took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.8% — 1.4 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,020 minutes at five-on-five — 64th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Stamkos | 49.6% | 45.7% | 45.1% |
| Filip Forsberg | 48.3% | 47.1% | 48.9% |
| Brady Skjei | 45.4% | 49.2% | 47.6% |
49.6% together, 45.7% for him apart and 45.1% for Stamkos apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
264 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.