Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

9

Sam Bennett

Florida Panthers Center

Six Calgary seasons that never reached forty points, and then two Florida seasons that both did.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15CGY1011-1000010.016:00
2015-16CGY77181836-113730213613.215:09
2016-17CGY81131326-167540012210.714:59
2017-18CGY82111526-18591011577.014:24
2018-19CGY71131427-69340211511.313:17
2019-20CGY528412-136000829.812:31
2020-21CGY/FLA48101727-2521041069.414:25
2021-22FLA71282149+277450724111.616:57
2022-23FLA63162440+5544031938.317:24
2023-24 so far—————————————
Career—546117127244-2348022019115310.214:57

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

16 goals and 24 assists in 63 games — 40 points. Plus-5, 17:24 a night, 193 shots at 8.3 per cent, 54 penalty minutes.

56.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 93rd percentile, with his ice at 44-35 against an expectation of 48.71-36.92.

The career shape is the point. Fourth overall in 2014, six Calgary seasons with a best of 36 points and a run of minus figures — minus-11, minus-16, minus-18, minus-6. Then 49 points in 71 games in his first full Florida year and 40 in 63 in his second.

Nine seasons, 546 games, 244 points.

The Finesse Game

193 shots at a median of 24 feet, 42 per cent from inside twenty and 16 per cent from beyond forty.

Beyond forty: 25 shots, 1 goal. Inside forty: 155 shots, 15 goals, 9.68 per cent — a low conversion rate for that distribution, and the reason 193 shots produced only sixteen goals.

14 tip-ins and 11 slap shots in the mix. He gets to the net and he does not always finish once he is there; this is a season in which the volume was there and the touch was not.

89.4 mph at the 41st percentile.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 193, 54 penalty minutes in 63 games, and a career total of 480 in 546.

Top speed 22.2 mph, the 43rd percentile; bursts 1.4 a game, the 71st; 3.02 miles a game, the 80th.

He forechecks hard and finishes his checks, and the penalty rate has been consistent across nine seasons and three roles. The 93 penalty minutes he took in Calgary in 2018-19 came in seventy-one games at thirteen minutes a night, which is a rate very few players sustain.

The Intangibles

He has now missed at least eleven games in six of his nine seasons, and 63 games was his most recent.

What Florida found that Calgary did not is not visible in the tracking, which reads the same in both places. The difference is deployment: he plays the second line here and played the fourth there, and the chance share follows the assignment.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks hard and finishes his checks, and the penalty rate has been consistent across nine seasons and three roles.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He gets to the net and he does not always finish once he is there; this is a season in which the volume was there and the touch was not.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 863 minutes

Expected goals
56.9%
93rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.7%
92nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 44 for, 35 against. Expected: 48.7 and 36.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
86th
Numbers
93rd

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 63 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
50th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.43 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.02 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.4 mph
64th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 863 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
FLA took 53.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.9% — 3.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 863 minutes at five-on-five — 45th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Matthew Tkachuk60.9%49.1%60.2%
Carter Verhaeghe58.5%55.4%53.9%
Brandon Montour57.5%56.5%50.6%

60.9% together, 49.1% for him apart and 60.2% for Tkachuk apart. He was worse away from Tkachuk, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Tkachuk did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

238 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.