This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Ryan O'Reilly

One thousand and seventy-three games, 771 points, and 54 per cent of his shots from inside twenty feet at 33.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2009-10	COL	81	8	18	26	+4	18	0	2	2	135	5.9	16:46
2010-11	COL	74	13	13	26	-7	16	2	1	0	119	10.9	16:03
2011-12	COL	81	18	37	55	-1	12	4	0	3	189	9.5	19:32
2012-13	COL	29	6	14	20	-3	4	3	0	0	66	9.1	18:30
2013-14	COL	80	28	36	64	-1	2	9	0	6	201	13.9	19:49
2014-15	COL	82	17	38	55	-5	12	2	1	1	171	9.9	19:43
2015-16	BUF	71	21	39	60	-16	8	8	1	2	157	13.4	21:44
2016-17	BUF	72	20	35	55	-1	10	8	1	3	189	10.6	21:28
2017-18	BUF	81	24	37	61	-23	2	15	0	3	230	10.4	20:49
2018-19	STL	82	28	49	77	+22	12	6	1	5	234	12.0	20:46
2019-20	STL	71	12	49	61	+11	10	2	1	3	118	10.2	20:34
2020-21	STL	56	24	30	54	+26	18	4	2	4	129	18.6	20:45
2021-22	STL	78	21	37	58	+11	12	9	0	0	168	12.5	19:05
2022-23	STL/TOR	53	16	14	30	-21	16	1	1	4	102	15.7	17:57
2023-24	NSH	82	26	43	69	+6	18	14	0	1	180	14.4	19:46
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	1073	282	489	771	+2	170	87	11	37	2388	11.8	19:36

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 26 goals and 43 assists for 69 points, 14 on the power play, 18 penalty minutes, 19:46 a night and plus-6. He took 53.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,119 minutes, the 76th percentile, and his ice went 57-47 against an expectation of 53.16-47.04.

Four goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and level at the other end. Sixty-nine points at 33 on the hard matchup, with the fourteen power-play goals the largest total on the club.

The Finesse Game

180 shots at a median of 18 feet with 54 per cent from inside 20 and 9 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 14.4 per cent against a career 11.81.

489 career assists in 1,073 games. That shot chart is a centre who scores from the paint and nowhere else, and at 33 it is the correct adaptation. He is the best passer on this roster and he has been for a decade.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 207 and protects the puck below the goal line as well as anybody in the league.

170 career penalty minutes in 1,073 games is one of the lowest rates in hockey for a centre who has always taken the hard assignment. He takes the draw, kills penalties, and has 11 career shorthanded goals. What Nashville did not do was start him in his own end: 60.7 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 90th percentile, which is a club sending its best defensive centre out to begin with the puck rather than to go and get it.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2009 out of Clinton, Ontario, fifteen seasons across five organisations, and 771 points in 1,073 games. He has a Selke Trophy, a Conn Smythe and a Stanley Cup.

He is 33 and had 69 points. The feet went five years ago and nothing else has, and a centre who can still take the matchup at this age is worth more than the scoresheet says.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored
68.7% of his attempts in the slot, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it
durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand
“He is 6-1 and 207 and protects the puck below the goal line as well as anybody in the league.”
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“That shot chart is a centre who scores from the paint and nowhere else, and at 33 it is the correct adaptation.”
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“He is the best passer on this roster and he has been for a decade.”
faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it
“He takes the draw, kills penalties, and has 11 career shorthanded goals.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He takes the draw, kills penalties, and has 11 career shorthanded goals.”
defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead
“170 career penalty minutes in 1,073 games is one of the lowest rates in hockey for a centre who has always taken the hard assignment.”
leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it
“He has a Selke Trophy, a Conn Smythe and a Stanley Cup.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,119 minutes

Expected goals: 53.1%; 77th pct
Shot attempts: 53.2%; 80th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 57 for, 47 against. Expected: 53.2 and 47.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

87th

Numbers

77th

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed: 21.9 mph; 33rd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.41 a game
Distance: 3.06 miles a game
Hardest shot: 83.8 mph; 32nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1119 minutes at five-on-five

Filip Forsberg82%
Gustav Nyquist75%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: NSH took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.1% — 0.6 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,119 minutes at five-on-five — 75th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Filip Forsberg	53.4%	51.2%	58.3%
Gustav Nyquist	52.3%	55.7%	52.7%
Roman Josi	56.2%	50.4%	53.5%

53.4% together, 51.2% for him apart and 58.3% for Forsberg apart. Forsberg was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

246 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 28 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 54% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.