Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

25

Logan O'Connor

Colorado Avalanche Right Wing

Undrafted, 175 pounds, three shorthanded goals, and the best penalty killer on a club that wins fifty games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19COL5000-2000010.06:49
2019-20COL16202020011513.38:26
2020-21COL22325+66000378.110:56
2021-22COL8181624+10380111276.313:52
2022-23COL8291726+11370201048.614:12
2023-24COL57131225+13340348515.314:57
2024-25 so far
Career263354782+381170663699.513:30

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Fifty-seven games, 13 goals and 12 assists with 3 shorthanded, 14:57 a night and plus-13. He converted 15.29 per cent of 85 shots.

He took 52.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 720 minutes, the 69th percentile, and his ice went 29-26 against an expectation of 31.00-28.38. Thirteen goals is a career high and 25 points at fourteen minutes a night from a fourth-line winger is real value.

The Finesse Game

Eighty-five shots at a median of 19 feet with 50 per cent from inside 20 — half of everything he shoots comes from the slot, which for a man of 175 pounds is a choice about courage.

Thirty-five goals in 263 career games at 9.49 per cent. The 15.29 last season is above his level and the shot is ordinary. Forty-seven career assists says the puck skill is not why he plays.

The Physical Game

The skating is the game — he is among the quicker forwards in the league over the first three strides and he uses it to pressure rather than to attack.

He is 6-0 and 175 and he does not win physical battles, but he takes 34 penalty minutes in 57 games finishing checks he has no business finishing. He forechecks aggressively and is usually the first man in.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of Denver, six seasons in one organisation, 263 games and a Stanley Cup. He is plus-38 across a career spent almost entirely in a bottom-six role.

He scored 3 shorthanded goals and has 6 in 263 career games, and at 6-0 and 175 he pressures the point man rather than sitting in a box. He is the best penalty killer on the club and the cheapest useful player on the roster.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 720 minutes

Expected goals
52.2%
70th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.6%
88th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 26 against. Expected: 31.0 and 28.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
55th
Numbers
70th

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 720 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
COL took 52.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.2% — 0.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 720 minutes at five-on-five — 32nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ross Colton54.6%48.1%51.6%
Miles Wood53.3%50.7%47.4%
Josh Manson54.0%51.1%53.2%

54.6% together, 48.1% for him apart and 51.6% for Colton apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

127 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 50% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.