Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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82

Jordan Oesterle

Boston Bruins Defense

Undrafted, three hundred and seventy-one NHL games, and a seventh defenceman's job at thirty-two.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15EDM6011-4000070.014:42
2015-16EDM17055+10000240.021:41
2016-17EDM2000-1000020.017:17
2017-18CHI5551015-118100995.120:31
2018-19ARI7161420-312300777.818:54
2019-20ARI5831013-914000694.317:01
2020-21ARI4311011-1010100382.617:54
2021-22DET45268-74001633.218:17
2022-23DET522911-919000543.715:39
2023-24CGY22022-64000180.013:31
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—371196786-59715014514.217:56

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

No goals and 2 assists in 22 games for Calgary — 2 points at 13:31 a night, minus-6, on 18 shots with 4 penalty minutes.

46.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 294 minutes, the 28th percentile. His ice went 10-17 against an expectation of 10.22-11.82.

The Finesse Game

18 attempts at a median of 43 feet, with 54 per cent from beyond 40 and 21 per cent from inside 20, and none of them scored. Nineteen goals in 371 career games.

The skating is what has kept him employed for ten years — he retrieves under pressure and gets out of his own zone with the puck rather than around the boards. Sixty-seven career assists.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 181 and the lightest defenceman on this roster by nine pounds. He cannot clear his crease and he does not win battles against forwards, and the defending is positional and nothing else.

4 penalty minutes in 22 games and 71 in 371 for his career, which is one of the cleanest rates of any defenceman in this edition.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Western Michigan, and 371 NHL games across ten seasons for five clubs — a career built entirely on being available, cheap and unobjectionable.

He is 32 and is the eighth defenceman on a club with seven. A career minus-59 across ten years says everything about the clubs rather than the man, and the value here is that he can play twenty games at short notice without the structure falling over.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “**Undrafted**, out of Western Michigan, and **371 NHL games across ten seasons for five clubs** — a career built entirely on being available, cheap and unobjectionable.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “**The skating is what has kept him employed for ten years** — he retrieves under pressure and gets out of his own zone with the puck rather than around the boards.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “**He cannot clear his crease and he does not win battles against forwards**, and the defending is positional and nothing else.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “**He cannot clear his crease and he does not win battles against forwards**, and the defending is positional and nothing else.”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “4 penalty minutes in 22 games and 71 in 371 for his career, which is one of the cleanest rates of any defenceman in this edition.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 294 minutes

Expected goals
46.4%
28th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.9%
45th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 17 against. Expected: 10.2 and 11.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
4th
Numbers
28th

The numbers rank him 24 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 54 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 22 games

Top speed
21.1 mph
25th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.36 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.03 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.0 mph
23rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with CGY · 294 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.4% — 3.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
294 minutes at five-on-five — 6th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nazem Kadri52.3%43.1%50.5%
Yegor Sharangovich44.1%47.4%49.6%
Jonathan Huberdeau47.7%45.7%50.4%

52.3% together, 43.1% for him apart and 50.5% for Kadri apart. He was worse away from Kadri, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Kadri did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

24 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 0 of them goals. 21% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 54% from beyond forty.