Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

28

Oliver Bjorkstrand

Seattle Kraken Right Wing

Fifty-nine points and a minus-20, on 12 penalty minutes in 82 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CBJ12448+600012516.015:59
2016-17CBJ266713+460025510.914:05
2017-18CBJ82112940+493021636.814:18
2018-19CBJ77231336+8830116114.312:20
2019-20CBJ49211536+81230516213.017:56
2020-21CBJ56182644-152320014312.617:37
2021-22CBJ80282957-351690121513.017:57
2022-23SEA81202545-11650119810.115:37
2023-24SEA82203959-201280318610.816:11
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—545151187338-4110233016130811.515:44

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 20 goals and 39 assists for 59 points, 8 on the power play, 12 penalty minutes, 16:11 a night and minus-20, with 3 game-winners. He took 51.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,088 minutes, the 64th percentile, and his ice went 42-45 against an expectation of 45.09-42.53.

Three goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and two more conceded than they called for. Fifty-nine points and a minus-20 is the widest disagreement between production and plus-minus on this roster, and it came with the club’s second-best chance share among the forwards.

The Finesse Game

301 attempts at a median of 36 feet with 36 per cent of them from beyond forty and 22 per cent from inside twenty, 188 of those on goal, converted at 10.8 per cent against a career 11.54 across 1,308 shots.

187 career assists against 151 goals in 545 games. He is the most reliable passer on the club and the most distant shooter on it at the same time; a third of what he attempts comes from beyond forty feet, and 33 career power-play goals is where a shot from that range earns its keep.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 175 and took 12 penalty minutes in 82 games.

102 career penalty minutes in 545 games. He is one of the lightest wingers in this edition and plays like it — there is no contact in his game at all, in either direction, and everything he does depends on arriving somewhere before somebody else can reach him.

The Intangibles

Eighty-ninth overall in 2013 by Columbus, nine seasons, two organisations, and 338 points in 545 games.

A career minus-41 and zero shorthanded goals in 545 games. He has scored twenty or more in five different seasons and has never once been trusted a man down.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    36.2% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 99th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.15 penalty minutes a game over 82, 8th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He is the most reliable passer on the club and the most distant shooter on it at the same time; a third of what he attempts comes from beyond forty feet, and 33 career power-play goals is where a shot from that range earns its keep.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is one of the lightest wingers in this edition and plays like it — there is no contact in his game at all, in either direction, and everything he does depends on arriving somewhere before somebody else can reach him.”

  • penalty-killerhe lacks it· trusted a man short

    “A career minus-41 and zero shorthanded goals in 545 games.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,088 minutes

Expected goals
51.5%
64th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.9%
78th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 45 against. Expected: 45.1 and 42.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
51st
Numbers
64th

The two rank him within 13 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
21.8 mph
30th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.82 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.57 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.5 mph
68th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1088 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
SEA took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.5% — 0.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,088 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Eeli Tolvanen51.4%51.5%47.0%
Yanni Gourde52.6%49.9%45.4%
Adam Larsson49.0%52.8%48.2%

51.4% together, 51.5% for him apart and 47.0% for Tolvanen apart. Tolvanen was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Tolvanen than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

301 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 22% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 36% from beyond forty.