Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

28

Oliver Bjorkstrand

Tampa Bay Lightning Right Wing

21 goals across Seattle and Tampa Bay, and 31 per cent of his shot attempts from beyond 40 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CBJ12448+600012516.015:59
2016-17CBJ266713+460025510.914:05
2017-18CBJ82112940+493021636.814:18
2018-19CBJ77231336+8830116114.312:20
2019-20CBJ49211536+81230516213.017:56
2020-21CBJ56182644-152320014312.617:37
2021-22CBJ80282957-351690121513.017:57
2022-23SEA81202545-11650119810.115:37
2023-24SEA82203959-201280318610.816:11
2024-25SEA/TBL79212546+21850215413.615:09
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—624172212384-3912038018146211.815:39

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

21 goals and 25 assists in 79 games across two clubs — 46 points at 15:09 a night, plus-2, with 5 power-play goals on 154 shots.

49.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 41st percentile. His ice went 43-34 against an expectation of 34.68-34.92 — eight goals of finishing above expectation, with the goaltending behind him almost exactly neutral.

The Finesse Game

154 attempts at a median of 31 feet with 30 per cent from inside 20 and 31 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 13.6 per cent.

The release is the skill and it is quick and accurate from distance. 25 assists in 79 games is respectable; he is a shooter first and he has scored 20 or more in five of the last six seasons.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 175 and light. He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he never has.

18 penalty minutes in 79 games. He is disciplined and uninvolved in the physical half of the game entirely.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick in 2013 out of Denmark — the most productive Danish player in NHL history, at 624 games and 384 points.

He was acquired from Seattle at the deadline in March with Yanni Gourde. He is 30 and he has never been the best player on a good hockey team, which here is not a criticism.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    31.1% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he never has.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he never has.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “18 penalty minutes in 79 games. He is disciplined and uninvolved in the physical half of the game entirely.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 952 minutes

Expected goals
49.8%
51st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.4%
68th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 34 against. Expected: 34.7 and 34.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
42nd
Numbers
51st

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 79 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
24th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.77 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.40 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.3 mph
69th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with SEA · 766 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
TBL took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.8% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
952 minutes at five-on-five — 54th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Eeli Tolvanen49.5%50.1%45.1%
Chandler Stephenson44.2%53.6%40.1%
Adam Larsson47.2%51.0%46.6%

49.5% together, 50.1% for him apart and 45.1% for Tolvanen apart. Tolvanen was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Tolvanen than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

219 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 22 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.