Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

28

Oliver Bjorkstrand

Seattle Kraken Right Wing

The 36th-most takeaways of 393 forwards and the 91st-percentile penalty ledger, at 175 pounds.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CBJ12448+600012516.015:59
2016-17CBJ266713+460025510.914:05
2017-18CBJ82112940+493021636.814:18
2018-19CBJ77231336+8830116114.312:20
2019-20CBJ49211536+81230516213.017:56
2020-21CBJ56182644-152320014312.617:37
2021-22CBJ80282957-351690121513.017:57
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—382111123234-20742001292412.015:40

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

80 games for Columbus, 28 goals and 29 assists at 17:57 a night, minus-35, sixteen penalty minutes, 215 shots. Nine of the twenty-eight came on the power play. Eighty-ninth overall in 2013 — the third round — seven seasons, 382 games, 234 points.

The Finesse Game

8.98 shots per 60 is the 77th percentile at 13.0 per cent, from a 28-foot median with forty-two per cent from the slot. Two hundred and fifteen shots is a career high by fifty-two and twenty-eight goals is a career high by five.

Thirty-three per cent of his points came on the power play off 3:07 a night, the 89th percentile among forwards — a genuine first-unit workload on a club that finished 26th at it.

2.38 takeaways per 60 is the 36th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, at 6-0 and 175 pounds.

0.92 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.33 taken, and the net at the 91st percentile. He is in a great deal of traffic for a small man and comes out of it ahead.

47.8 per cent of the expected goals and 50.5 per cent of the attempts, out of 50.3 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 333rd-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — dead level, on a club that finished 30th in the league.

The minus-35 is the largest number on this roster and Columbus is the reason. His ice went 41-62 against an expectation of 46.30-50.48 — five goals short in front and eleven and a half more against than the model asked, on the club that finished 32nd in the league in expected goals against per 60 at even strength.

The Physical Game

3.55 hits per 60 is the 46th percentile and 1.30 blocks the 30th at 175 pounds — the lightest forward on this roster.

Sixteen penalty minutes in eighty games.

The Intangibles

22.0 mph is the 24th percentile, 3.8 bursts per 60 the 31st, 9.50 miles per 60 the 35th. Three skating measurements in the bottom third, which for a scoring winger of this size is the file’s real weakness.

Forty per cent of his even-strength ice was spent in the offensive zone, the 29th percentile — the lowest on this roster.

He is 27 with 234 points in 382 games and has just been traded to a club that scored 216 goals. The volume, the takeaways, the power-play role and the penalty ledger are four real things. The skating and the fact that his chance share was three points below his attempt share are the two the record keeps returning to.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “2.38 takeaways per 60 is the 36th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, at 6-0 and 175 pounds.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,112 minutes

Expected goals
47.8%
37th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.5%
60th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 41 for, 62 against. Expected: 46.3 and 50.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
74th
Numbers
37th

The report ranks him 37 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 80 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
44th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.13 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.84 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.4 mph
74th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with CBJ · 1112 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
CBJ took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.8% — 3.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,112 minutes at five-on-five — 78th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Zach Werenski48.7%47.3%44.2%
Gustav Nyquist45.7%49.1%42.3%
Boone Jenner48.7%47.4%38.3%

48.7% together, 47.3% for him apart and 44.2% for Werenski apart. Werenski was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Werenski than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

306 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.