Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

20

Eeli Tolvanen

Seattle Kraken Right Wing

Forty-one points and one power-play goal, from a first-round pick on his second club.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18NSH30000000030.012:07
2018-19NSH4112+20000250.013:16
2020-21NSH40111122-1046046516.914:48
2021-22NSH75111223-7161011517.313:26
2022-23NSH/SEA61181331+81440411615.514:31
2023-24SEA81162541-152410315310.515:39
2024-25 so far
Career2645762119-22581201249011.614:33

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 16 goals and 25 assists for 41 points, 1 on the power play, 24 penalty minutes, 15:39 a night and minus-15, with 3 game-winners. He took 49.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,061 minutes, the 51st percentile, and his ice went 35-45 against an expectation of 41.09-41.42.

Six goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and four more conceded than they called for. Forty-one points is a career high by ten and one power-play goal from a man with that shot is the strangest line on the roster.

The Finesse Game

226 attempts at a median of 31 feet with 30 per cent of them from inside twenty, 151 of those on goal, converted at 10.5 per cent against a career 11.63 across 490 shots.

Fifty-seven career goals in 264 games, 12 of them game-winners. The shot is the reason he was a first-round pick and it is still the best thing about him — a hard one-timer off the wall that arrives before the goaltender is set — and one power-play goal in 81 games says nobody has built a unit around it.

The Physical Game

He is 5-10 and 182 and took 24 penalty minutes.

Fifty-eight career penalty minutes in 264 games. He is small and does not play a heavy game, but he goes into the corner first rather than second and has taken the punishment that comes with a top-nine role at that size without missing much.

The Intangibles

Thirtieth overall in 2017 by Nashville, six seasons, two organisations, and 119 points in 264 games.

A career minus-22 and 41 points in his best season at 25. He played 61 games across Nashville and Seattle two seasons ago and has been better since the move, which is the most that can be said for a first-round pick who took six years to become a regular.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,061 minutes

Expected goals
49.8%
51st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.8%
61st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 45 against. Expected: 41.1 and 41.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
51st
Numbers
51st

The two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1061 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
SEA took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.8% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,061 minutes at five-on-five — 67th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Yanni Gourde49.4%51.2%49.1%
Oliver Bjorkstrand51.4%47.0%51.5%
Adam Larsson48.8%50.3%48.3%

49.4% together, 51.2% for him apart and 49.1% for Gourde apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

226 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.