Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

24

Nick Seeler

Philadelphia Flyers Defense

Seventy-nine per cent of his shot attempts came from beyond 40 feet, and his ice conceded fourteen goals more than the chances said it should.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18MIN22044+1021000170.014:32
2018-19MIN71257-464001673.012:20
2019-20MIN/CHI12011-81500050.011:55
2021-22PHI43123-329000323.113:05
2022-23PHI7741014+156000844.814:29
2023-24PHI7111213+9780001001.016:57
2024-25PHI7731720+1036001823.717:17
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—373115162+152990023872.814:53

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 17 assists in 77 games — 20 points at 17:17 a night, plus-10, with 36 penalty minutes.

47.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 21st percentile — the worst of the club’s regular defencemen. His ice went 49-45 against an expectation of 39.12-42.97, which is ten goals of finishing above expectation and a plus-10 that came almost entirely from it.

The Finesse Game

82 attempts at a median of 57 feet with 79 per cent from beyond 40 and 4 per cent from inside 20 — a defenceman who shoots from the blue line and nowhere else. 3 goals.

The puck game is the limitation and always has been. He makes the short pass and he chips it out when the short pass is not there, and under a heavy forecheck the exits stop.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 197 and this is the entire case for him. He blocks shots at a rate among the highest in the league, he clears the front of his own net by force, and he fights.

36 penalty minutes in 77 games is a moderate total for a player who plays this way, which is to his credit. He is punishing without being reckless.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick in 2011 who did not play a full NHL season until he was 25 and has now played 373 games across three organisations.

He is 32, on a contract that runs four years, and he is what this defence has instead of a heavy top-four right shot. The 17 assists were a career high by five.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “**He blocks shots at a rate among the highest in the league**, he clears the front of his own net by force, and he fights.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “**He blocks shots at a rate among the highest in the league**, he clears the front of his own net by force, and he fights.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is punishing without being reckless.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He makes the short pass and he chips it out when the short pass is not there, and under a heavy forecheck the exits stop.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,137 minutes

Expected goals
47.7%
32nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.2%
9th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 45 against. Expected: 39.1 and 43.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
32nd

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 77 games

Top speed
21.4 mph
40th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.39 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.33 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.2 mph
63rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1137 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
PHI took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.7% — 4.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,137 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jamie Drysdale49.4%45.6%51.2%
Travis Konecny43.6%49.7%52.4%
Sean Couturier41.4%50.4%55.9%

49.4% together, 45.6% for him apart and 51.2% for Drysdale apart. He was worse away from Drysdale, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Drysdale did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

143 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 30 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 79% from beyond forty.