Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

24

Nick Seeler

Philadelphia Flyers Defense

Two hundred and sixty-three career penalty minutes, eight career goals, and a plus-9 on a club that was outscored.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18MIN22044+1021000170.014:32
2018-19MIN71257-464001673.012:20
2019-20MIN/CHI12011-81500050.011:55
2021-22PHI43123-329000323.113:05
2022-23PHI7741014+156000844.814:29
2023-24PHI7111213+9780001001.016:57
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—29683442+52630013052.614:15

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

71 games, 1 goal and 12 assists for 13 points, 78 penalty minutes, 16:57 a night and plus-9 — the best plus-minus on the club. He took 53.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,051 minutes, the 77th percentile, and his ice went 49-45 against an expectation of 46.38-40.86.

Three goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and four more conceded than they called for. Thirteen points is a career high in a sixth NHL season.

The Finesse Game

148 attempts at a median of 57 feet with 80 per cent of them from beyond forty and 5 per cent from inside twenty, 100 of those on goal, converted at 1.0 per cent against a career 2.62 across 305 shots.

Eight career goals in 296 games and 34 assists. A 57-foot median with four-fifths of the attempts from beyond forty feet is a defenceman who shoots to create a rebound and nothing else; the puck leaves his stick to the nearest white sweater and the ambition ends there.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 197 and took 78 penalty minutes.

263 career penalty minutes in 296 games. He blocks shots at a rate that hurts, finishes every check he can reach and clears his crease by putting people on the ice; on a club with the third-best penalty kill in the league that is most of what he is for.

The Intangibles

131st overall in 2011 by Minnesota, six seasons, three organisations, 42 points in 296 games and a career plus-5.

A fifth-round pick who reached the NHL six years after his draft and has taken seventeen minutes a night at 30. The plus-9 on a club that was outscored at five-on-five by twenty-one goals is the number to take away.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots at a rate that hurts, finishes every check he can reach and clears his crease by putting people on the ice; on a club with the third-best penalty kill in the league that is most of what he is for.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “263 career penalty minutes in 296 games.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He is 6-3 and 197 and took 78 penalty minutes.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,051 minutes

Expected goals
53.2%
77th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.7%
70th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 45 against. Expected: 46.4 and 40.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
15th
Numbers
77th

The numbers rank him 62 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 71 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
48th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.51 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.31 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.0 mph
40th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1051 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PHI took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.2% — 0.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,051 minutes at five-on-five — 65th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Sean Walker54.0%51.6%51.9%
Travis Konecny58.7%50.8%51.6%
Joel Farabee52.2%53.6%51.7%

54.0% together, 51.6% for him apart and 51.9% for Walker apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

148 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 34 feet. 5% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 80% from beyond forty.