Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

91

Tyler Seguin

Dallas Stars Center

20 games and 21 points before hip surgery, and a career that has now been interrupted more often than it has run.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11BOS74111122-4181001318.412:13
2011-12BOS81293867+343050724212.016:56
2012-13BOS48161632+23164021619.917:01
2013-14DAL80374784+1618110829412.619:21
2014-15DAL71374077-122130528013.219:33
2015-16DAL72334073+21670627811.919:27
2016-17DAL82264672-152211043018.618:28
2017-18DAL82403878+1243141633511.920:55
2018-19DAL82334780+17189083349.920:45
2019-20DAL69173350-2223062456.919:09
2020-21DAL320200000825.017:04
2021-22DAL81242549-213030221811.017:49
2022-23DAL76212950+32471318911.116:37
2023-24DAL68252752+102630315416.216:33
2024-25DAL2091221+1543024619.616:09
2025-26 so far
Career989360449809+8930994262321611.218:05

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 12 assists in 20 games for 21 points, plus-15, on 16:09 a night before hip surgery in November ended the regular season for him.

A point a game is the headline and 20 games is the report. 19.6 per cent shooting over that stretch, on a 51.7 per cent chance share, in the sort of sample that should not be read as anything.

The Finesse Game

The release is still the best thing about him — quick, deceptive, and available off either foot. When he is healthy he remains a genuine scoring threat from the top of the circles, and the hands in tight have not gone anywhere.

The skating has. He was never explosive after the knee, and the hip has taken more of it: he no longer separates from defencemen and has become a player who needs the puck given to him in space rather than one who finds space himself. 47 per cent of his attempts still come from inside 20 feet, so the instincts are intact.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 205, and a low-contact game that has got lower. He is not a forechecker and has not been for years, and he avoids the net front where the punishment is.

4 penalty minutes in 20 games. The body is the entire question: a knee, a hip, and three of the last six seasons cut short.

The Intangibles

Thirteen seasons in Dallas after arriving as the other half of a famous trade, and a reputation in his twenties that he spent his thirties correcting. Nobody questions the professionalism now.

At 33, coming off hip surgery, on a contract with real term left, this is a club hoping for 60 games of a second-line winger. It would be a good outcome.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 260 minutes

Expected goals
51.7%
69th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.5%
86th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 11 for, 12 against. Expected: 12.5 and 11.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
64th
Numbers
69th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 260 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
DAL took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.7% — 1.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
260 minutes at five-on-five — 4th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Miro Heiskanen61.6%45.4%54.1%
Thomas Harley55.5%49.3%52.8%
Esa Lindell48.4%53.4%49.6%

61.6% together, 45.4% for him apart and 54.1% for Heiskanen apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

66 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.