Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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9

Jamie Drysdale

Philadelphia Flyers Defense

Minus-32 on an on-ice chance expectation of 46.20-45.61 — dead even — which is the clearest illustration in this book of what plus-minus measures.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21ANA24358-1260002810.719:35
2021-22ANA8142832-26160011372.919:53
2022-23ANA8000-3200080.017:37
2023-24ANA/PHI343710-208100555.519:37
2024-25PHI7071320-32222016311.119:55
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—217175370-93543022915.819:44

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 13 assists in 70 games — 20 points at 19:55 a night, minus-32, the worst figure on the club and among the worst in the league.

50.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 47th percentile — dead average. His ice went 49-64 against an expectation of 46.20-45.61, which is an even split. Sixteen goals were conceded above expectation with him on the ice, and behind a goaltending group that finished 32nd in the league by twenty goals, that is what a minus-32 is made of.

The Finesse Game

63 attempts in 70 games at a median of 51 feet with 64 per cent from beyond 40. The shot is not the point and 7 goals on 63 attempts is a conversion rate that will not repeat.

The skating is elite for the position and the escape from a forecheck is the best thing about him. He is a genuine puck-mover, and 13 assists in 70 games on a club that scored 238 goals is not the measure of it.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 185 and among the lightest defencemen in the league. He does not clear a crease, he does not win a battle in the corner, and everything he does defensively he does with his feet and his stick.

22 penalty minutes in 70 games at twenty minutes a night is a very low rate, and it says he is rarely beaten badly enough to reach. That is the case for him, and it sits underneath a minus-32.

The Intangibles

Sixth overall in 2020 by Anaheim and traded here in 2024 for Cutter Gauthier — a trade that will be argued about for a decade.

217 games and a career minus-93 across two rebuilding clubs. He is 23, he has never played a meaningful game in April, and he has been asked to play top-four minutes since he was 19.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “The skating is elite for the position and the escape from a forecheck is the best thing about him.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He does not clear a crease, he does not win a battle in the corner, and everything he does defensively he does with his feet and his stick.”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He does not clear a crease, he does not win a battle in the corner, and everything he does defensively he does with his feet and his stick.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “22 penalty minutes in 70 games at twenty minutes a night is a very low rate, and it says he is rarely beaten badly enough to reach.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “everything he does defensively he does with his feet and his stick.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,137 minutes

Expected goals
50.3%
56th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.4%
21st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 64 against. Expected: 46.2 and 45.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
30th
Numbers
56th

The numbers rank him 26 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 70 games

Top speed
23.3 mph
96th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
1.76 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.89 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.9 mph
44th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1137 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
PHI took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.3% — 1.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,137 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Seeler49.4%51.2%45.6%
Travis Konecny47.8%51.8%51.0%
Matvei Michkov47.2%52.0%56.2%

49.4% together, 51.2% for him apart and 45.6% for Seeler apart. Seeler was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Seeler than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

108 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 64% from beyond forty.