This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Nick Robertson
Toronto Maple Leafs Left Wing
Five-nine, and 14 goals in 56 games at eleven minutes a night.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | TOR | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.0 | 9:26 |
| 2021-22 | TOR | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7.1 | 10:16 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7.4 | 10:53 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 56 | 14 | 13 | 27 | +4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 96 | 14.6 | 11:23 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 87 | 17 | 17 | 34 | +3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 146 | 11.6 | 11:02 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
56 games, 14 goals and 13 assists for 27 points, 1 on the power play, 4 penalty minutes, 11:23 a night and plus-4, with 1 game-winner. He took 51.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 599 minutes, the 62nd percentile, and his ice went 31-25 against an expectation of 24.88-23.46.
Six goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and two more conceded than they called for. Fourteen goals in 56 games at eleven and a half minutes a night is a scoring rate that deserves more ice than it got.
The Finesse Game
131 attempts at a median of 33 feet with 28 per cent of them from inside twenty and 35 per cent from beyond forty, 94 of those on goal, converted at 14.6 per cent against a career 11.64 across 146 shots.
Seventeen career goals in 87 games. He shoots from distance for a 5-9 winger and converts anyway; the release is the asset and it always has been, and there is no part of his game that depends on winning a puck by force.
The Physical Game
He is 5-9 and 180 and took 4 penalty minutes.
Eight career penalty minutes in 87 games. He is one of the smallest forwards in this edition and the physical question is the only question — at 5-9 and 180 he cannot hold a puck on the wall against an NHL defenceman, and everything has to happen in open ice.
The Intangibles
Fifty-third overall in 2019 by Toronto, four seasons, and 34 points in 87 games.
A career plus-3 in 87 games. He is 22, he took four years to hold a place, and 14 goals in 56 games is the best argument anybody on the fourth line made last season.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 599 minutes
- Expected goals
- 51.5%
- 64th pct
- Shot attempts
- 50.3%
- 57th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 25 against. Expected: 24.9 and 23.5.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 599 minutes at five-on-five
- Max Domi50%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.5% — 0.6 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 599 minutes at five-on-five — 24th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Domi | 54.6% | 47.8% | 48.9% |
| Calle Jarnkrok | 54.3% | 49.9% | 50.7% |
| Simon Benoit | 51.1% | 51.6% | 53.2% |
54.6% together, 47.8% for him apart and 48.9% for Domi apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
131 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 27% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 35% from beyond forty.