Photo by Maniacduhockey, CC0

Nick Robertson

5-9, 16 goals, and the 8th percentile in shot attempts.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2020-21	TOR	6	0	1	1	+1	0	0	0	0	9	0.0	9:26
2021-22	TOR	10	1	0	1	-4	4	0	0	0	14	7.1	10:16
2022-23	TOR	15	2	3	5	+2	0	0	0	1	27	7.4	10:53
2023-24	TOR	56	14	13	27	+4	4	1	0	1	96	14.6	11:23
2024-25	TOR	69	15	7	22	-1	16	2	0	3	112	13.4	12:00
2025-26	TOR	78	16	16	32	-13	10	2	0	1	127	12.6	12:40
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	234	48	40	88	-11	34	5	0	6	385	12.5	11:52

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

16 goals and 16 assists in 78 games — 32 points, minus-13, at 12:40 a night with 10 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Toronto.

The Finesse Game

A shooter and nothing else. 179 unblocked attempts, 16 goals, median 25 feet with 37 per cent from inside 20.

88 points in 234 career games, of which 48 are goals. 16 assists in 78 games says the playmaking is not part of it.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 180 pounds, and light. 10 penalty minutes in 78 games. He does not go to the net front, does not win pucks, and cannot hold the wall.

He was a prolific junior scorer whose game has never translated cleanly because there is nowhere on an NHL rink he can win a physical exchange.

The Intangibles

46.9 per cent of the expected goals, 28th percentile, and 44.2 per cent of the shot attempts, 8th percentile, across 897 minutes on a good Toronto club.

That is a bad number in a large sample.

He is 24, a second-round pick, and arrives on a club that finished 4th at generating offence — the best possible circumstances for a shooter who cannot create his own. 16 goals in 12 minutes is real. Almost nothing else here is.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

disciplined· stays out of the box
0.13 penalty minutes a game over 78, 4th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
durable· was available
78 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 897 minutes

Expected goals: 46.9%; 28th pct
Shot attempts: 44.2%; 8th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 44 against. Expected: 35.6 and 40.3.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

19th

Numbers

28th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 78 games

Top speed: 22.7 mph; 72nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.88 a game
Distance: 2.08 miles a game
Hardest shot: 94.8 mph; 97th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 0 assists, 20 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with TOR · 897 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: TOR took 46.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.9% — 0.6 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 897 minutes at five-on-five — 48th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Morgan Rielly	51.1%	44.6%	47.5%
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	50.1%	45.5%	47.5%
Nicolas Roy	53.2%	44.2%	45.8%

51.1% together, 44.6% for him apart and 47.5% for Rielly apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

179 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.