This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Pontus Holmberg
Toronto Maple Leafs Right Wing
A sixth-round pick with a career 14.81 per cent shooting rate on 81 shots.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | TOR | 37 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18.5 | 10:25 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 54 | 7 | 10 | 17 | +11 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 13.0 | 11:34 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 91 | 12 | 18 | 30 | +11 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 81 | 14.8 | 11:06 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
54 games, 7 goals and 10 assists for 17 points, 18 penalty minutes, 11:34 a night and plus-11, with 1 game-winner. He took 52.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 561 minutes, the 72nd percentile, and his ice went 30-21 against an expectation of 21.39-19.39.
Nine goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and two more conceded than they called for. The plus-11 came from a fourth-line centre playing eleven and a half minutes a night.
The Finesse Game
77 attempts at a median of 18 feet with 56 per cent of them from inside twenty and 5 per cent from beyond forty, 52 of those on goal, converted at 13.0 per cent against a career 14.81 across 81 shots.
Twelve career goals in 91 games. Five per cent of his attempts came from beyond forty feet — the lowest share of any forward on the club — and 56 per cent came from inside twenty; he does not shoot from anywhere he does not expect to score from.
The Physical Game
He is 6-0 and 201 and took 18 penalty minutes.
Thirty-six career penalty minutes in 91 games. He is an ordinary-sized centre who wins the wall by leverage rather than by hitting, and there is enough weight here to hold a puck against a defenceman on the cycle.
The Intangibles
One hundred and fifty-sixth overall in 2018 by Toronto, two seasons, one organisation, and 30 points in 91 games.
A career plus-11 in 91 games. He was a sixth-round pick who reached the league at 23 and has been on the right side of the ledger in both of his seasons.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored
70.1% of his attempts in the slot, 97th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it
“Five per cent of his attempts came from beyond forty feet — the lowest share of any forward on the club — and 56 per cent came from inside twenty; he does not shoot from anywhere he does not expect to score from.”
“He is an ordinary-sized centre who wins the wall by leverage rather than by hitting, and there is enough weight here to hold a puck against a defenceman on the cycle.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 561 minutes
- Expected goals
- 52.5%
- 72nd pct
- Shot attempts
- 50.8%
- 61st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 21 against. Expected: 21.4 and 19.4.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 54 games
- Top speed
- 22.5 mph
- 68th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.81 a game
- Distance
- 1.91 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 78.6 mph
- 16th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 561 minutes at five-on-five
- Ryan Reaves26%
- David Kampf20%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.5% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 561 minutes at five-on-five — 22nd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Brodie | 42.2% | 57.7% | 50.3% |
| Morgan Rielly | 51.8% | 52.8% | 49.9% |
| Jake McCabe | 56.0% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
42.2% together, 57.7% for him apart and 50.3% for Brodie apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
77 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 56% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.