Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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44

Simon Benoit

Toronto Maple Leafs Defense

Undrafted, 6-4, and one goal on 52 shots.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21ANA6000-3200030.017:12
2021-22ANA53145-522000452.214:06
2022-23ANA783710-2960000823.719:21
2023-24TOR64145+756000521.917:14
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—20151520-301400001822.817:14

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

64 games, 1 goal and 4 assists, 56 penalty minutes, 17:14 a night and plus-7. He took 52.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 991 minutes, the 74th percentile, and his ice went 44-36 against an expectation of 39.86-35.64.

Four goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and level at the other end. Five points in 64 games and a plus-7 is exactly the season a third-pairing defenceman is signed to have.

The Finesse Game

70 attempts at a median of 55 feet with 74 per cent of them from beyond forty and 6 per cent from inside twenty, 45 of those on goal, converted at 1.9 per cent against a career 2.75 across 182 shots.

Five career goals and 15 assists in 201 games. There is no offence here and no attempt at any; the puck goes off the glass or to the far wall and a career 2.75 per cent across 182 shots is the whole of the shooting.

The Physical Game

He is 6-4 and 210 and took 56 penalty minutes.

140 career penalty minutes in 201 games. He is large and plays entirely through contact — he clears the crease, finishes every check available, and fights when the club needs one.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, four seasons, and Toronto is his second organisation.

A career minus-30 in 201 games, almost all of it earned in Anaheim. He was undrafted, reached the league at 22, and has taken seventeen minutes a night for a club that finished tenth.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    38% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 7th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He is large and plays entirely through contact — he clears the crease, finishes every check available, and fights when the club needs one.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “There is no offence here and no attempt at any; the puck goes off the glass or to the far wall and a career 2.75 per cent across 182 shots is the whole of the shooting.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “He was undrafted, reached the league at 22, and has taken seventeen minutes a night for a club that finished tenth.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 991 minutes

Expected goals
52.8%
74th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.1%
64th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 44 for, 36 against. Expected: 39.9 and 35.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
47th
Numbers
74th

The numbers rank him 27 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 64 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
83rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.75 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.30 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.7 mph
39th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 991 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.8% — 0.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 991 minutes at five-on-five — 56th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jake McCabe54.9%50.4%51.6%
Auston Matthews56.6%51.1%56.8%
William Nylander44.2%55.9%54.3%

54.9% together, 50.4% for him apart and 51.6% for McCabe apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

70 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 74% from beyond forty.