Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

11

Max Domi

Toronto Maple Leafs Center

His ice finished 20.5 goals above what the chances were worth — the second-largest such figure in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16ARI81183452+37230015611.516:22
2016-17ARI5992938-9401011088.316:59
2017-18ARI8293645-7731001506.016:42
2018-19MTL82284472+208040220313.817:23
2019-20MTL71172744-3351031799.517:06
2020-21CBJ5491524-1875202999.115:13
2021-22CBJ/CAR72112839+105500110410.613:02
2022-23CHI/DAL80203656-158280417911.217:46
2023-24TOR8093847+101181011376.613:47
2024-25 so far
Career661130287417-96302101413159.916:04

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

80 games, 9 goals and 38 assists for 47 points, 1 on the power play, 118 penalty minutes, 13:47 a night and plus-10, with 1 game-winner. He took 50.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 993 minutes, the 56th percentile, and his ice went 65-49 against an expectation of 44.51-43.46.

20.5 goals of finishing above what the chances were worth — the second-largest individual figure in this edition, behind only Nathan MacKinnon — and six more conceded than they called for. Sixty-five goals for in 993 minutes on a 50.6 per cent chance share is a rate that does not repeat.

The Finesse Game

189 attempts at a median of 33 feet with 28 per cent of them from inside twenty and 35 per cent from beyond forty, 136 of those on goal, converted at 6.6 per cent against a career 9.89 across 1,315 shots.

287 career assists against 130 goals in 661 games. He is a passer who has never been a finisher and stopped pretending otherwise years ago; thirty-eight assists at thirteen and three-quarter minutes a night is a very high rate for a third-line centre.

The Physical Game

He is 5-10 and 208 and took 118 penalty minutes.

630 career penalty minutes in 661 games is close to one a game from a man who is 5-10. He fights men eight inches taller, finishes every check available, and takes the second penalty as often as he draws the first.

The Intangibles

Twelfth overall in 2013 by Phoenix, nine seasons, and Toronto is his seventh organisation.

A career minus-9 across nine seasons and seven clubs. He is 29, he has played for five different clubs in the last four seasons, and 47 points on 118 penalty minutes is exactly what every one of them has signed him for.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 993 minutes

Expected goals
50.6%
58th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.6%
59th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 65 for, 49 against. Expected: 44.5 and 43.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
87th
Numbers
58th

The report ranks him 29 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 993 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.6% — 1.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 993 minutes at five-on-five — 56th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Tyler Bertuzzi52.1%49.5%57.9%
TJ Brodie45.8%52.9%50.5%
Morgan Rielly47.9%51.8%50.7%

52.1% together, 49.5% for him apart and 57.9% for Bertuzzi apart. Bertuzzi was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

189 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 35% from beyond forty.