Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Moritz Seider

Photo by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Moritz Seider

Detroit Red Wings Defense #53

25 and a half minutes a night, 60 points, and a 32 goal shortfall behind him.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22DET8274350-9342041873.723:02
2022-23DET8253742-11401111403.623:09
2023-24DET8293342-7513001356.722:22
2024-25DET8283846-5404001624.925:04
2025-26DET82105060+15573021875.325:40
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—41039201240-1722213178114.823:51

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 50 assists in all 82 games — 60 points, plus-15, at 25:40 a night with 1,596 5-on-5 minutes, the most of any player in this edition.

The Finesse Game

50 assists from a defenceman playing the hardest minutes in the league is the number that matters. He breaks the puck out under pressure, he finds the stretch pass, and he does it against every top line on the schedule.

The shot is a point shot and used honestly: 276 unblocked attempts, 78 per cent from beyond 40 feet, median 50, 10 goals. He gets it through, which is most of the job from there.

The Physical Game

6-2, 210, and genuinely hard to play against — 57 penalty minutes, a willingness to finish checks, and he clears his own net front, which a lot of modern puck-movers do not.

The Intangibles

While he was on the ice at 5-on-5 the expected goals ran 72.1 to 57.3 in his favour — 55.7 per cent — and the actual goals went 70 for and 57 against.

Those two agree to within 2 goals, and on this club that is the remarkable part. Detroit under-finished at even strength by 21 goals, 30th in the league, and almost none of it happened on his ice. Nor was he being carried: the club allowed 169 5-on-5 goals against an expectation of 175, so the men behind him were 6 goals better than the chances they faced, and he did not need them to be.

11 points in his last 10. He is 25, a 6th overall pick, and the plus-15 beside his name is somehow still understating him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    55.7% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 43.5% for his club in the minutes he sat: +12.2, 100th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    19:28 a game at five-on-five, 94th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,596 minutes

Expected goals
55.7%
91st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53%
81st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 70 for, 57 against. Expected: 72.1 and 57.3.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
91st

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
52nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.52 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.66 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
98.9 mph
93rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

11

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 10 assists, 23 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1596 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
DET took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.7% — 7.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,596 minutes at five-on-five — 99th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Simon Edvinsson55.2%56.8%42.1%
Lucas Raymond54.6%56.3%45.6%
Dylan Larkin51.6%57.8%46.3%

55.2% together, 56.8% for him apart and 42.1% for Edvinsson apart. Edvinsson was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Edvinsson than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

276 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 46 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 78% from beyond forty.