Lucas Raymond

76 points at 24, and a shot chart drifting away from the net.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2021-22	DET	82	23	34	57	-32	16	5	0	2	184	12.5	18:09
2022-23	DET	74	17	28	45	-17	24	5	0	4	134	12.7	17:23
2023-24	DET	82	31	41	72	-12	30	6	0	4	163	19.0	17:45
2024-25	DET	82	27	53	80	-15	18	8	1	5	192	14.1	18:47
2025-26	DET	80	25	51	76	+1	22	7	0	5	173	14.4	18:48
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	400	123	207	330	-75	110	31	1	20	846	14.5	18:11

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

25 goals and 51 assists in 80 games — 76 points, plus-1, at 18:48 a night with 7 power-play goals.

The Finesse Game

The hands and the vision are the reasons he went 4th overall, and both have arrived. 51 assists is a first-line playmaker’s number, and the good ones are made at speed through a closing gap.

The shooting is the part to watch. Only 31 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet and 32 per cent from beyond 40, with a median of 32 — the furthest out of any Detroit forward except DeBrincat, and DeBrincat has a release that justifies it.

27 goals came anyway. More would come from 10 feet closer.

The Physical Game

5-11, 186, and light. 22 penalty minutes in 80 games. He does not win pucks by force and does not go to the net front, which is the same limitation his shot chart describes from the other direction.

The Intangibles

49.7 per cent of the expected goals, 52nd percentile — dead average, in top-line minutes, on a club that was slightly below average as a whole.

7 points in his last 10. He is 24, 330 points into 400 games, and the second-best forward on this roster.

The honest question is whether 100-point season is in here. On this evidence it needs either a harder shot chart or a linemate who takes the punishment for him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
32.0% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,135 minutes

Expected goals: 49.7%; 53rd pct
Shot attempts: 50.6%; 65th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 50 against. Expected: 49.0 and 49.5.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

73rd

Numbers

53rd

The report ranks him 20 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 80 games

Top speed: 22.7 mph; 75th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.41 a game
Distance: 2.99 miles a game
Hardest shot: 90.5 mph; 86th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 4 assists, 25 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1135 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: DET took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.7% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,135 minutes at five-on-five — 76th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Dylan Larkin	51.3%	46.4%	41.5%
Emmitt Finnie	50.8%	48.5%	46.7%
Moritz Seider	54.6%	45.6%	56.3%

51.3% together, 46.4% for him apart and 41.5% for Larkin apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

266 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 27 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 32% from beyond forty.