Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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39

Morgan Geekie

Boston Bruins Center

33 goals on 150 shots, which is 22 per cent, and the least repeatable season in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20CAR2314+32000475.011:47
2020-21CAR36369+1102003010.09:47
2021-22SEA7371522-1618000977.212:36
2022-23SEA6991928+14241038111.110:27
2023-24BOS76172239+62840113013.115:25
2024-25BOS77332457+32240415022.016:55
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—3337287159+11104110849214.613:29

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

33 goals and 24 assists in 77 games for 57 points, plus-3, on 16:55 a night — the second-highest goal total on the club and a career high by 16.

22 per cent shooting on 150 shots. His previous best was 12.7. His on-ice goals were 58-45 against an expected 48-43, so the line did not outscore anybody; he simply converted at a rate no forward sustains.

The Finesse Game

A quick release from a big frame, and a genuinely improved sense of where to be — 34 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet, which is a real change from earlier in his career and is the part of the season worth believing.

What is not believable is the rate. 150 shots is a third-line volume, and 33 goals from it requires a conversion rate that only a handful of players in history have held for two seasons running. He played most of the year beside the best shooter in the league, which helps, and does not make 22 per cent a skill.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 212, and he plays a straight, honest, forechecking game. He gets to the net front and can hold a position there, and he takes the punishment that comes with converting from 27 feet.

22 penalty minutes over 77 games. The durability has been fine.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick, four organisations, and a career of being a useful bottom-six forward until a contract year on the first line of a bad team.

The club has now paid him as a scorer. The honest projection is 20 goals, and the gap between that and 33 is the single largest bet in this chapter.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    52.7% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 46.4% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.3, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    68% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He gets to the net front and can hold a position there, and he takes the punishment that comes with converting from 27 feet.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He gets to the net front and can hold a position there”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “he plays a straight, honest, forechecking game”

  • nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “6-3 and 212, and he plays a straight, honest, forechecking game.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,084 minutes

Expected goals
52.7%
75th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.1%
65th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 58 for, 45 against. Expected: 47.5 and 42.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
75th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 77 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
85th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.64 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.68 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.8 mph
98th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1084 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
BOS took 48.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.7% — 4.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,084 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
David Pastrnak54.6%46.3%44.5%
Pavel Zacha52.8%52.4%43.8%
Mason Lohrei51.5%53.6%45.1%

54.6% together, 46.3% for him apart and 44.5% for Pastrnak apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

221 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 33 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.