Conor Geekie
Tampa Bay Lightning Center
Six-foot-four and 20 years old, and 43 per cent of his shot attempts from inside 20 feet in a rookie season.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | TBL | 52 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 60 | 13.3 | 12:20 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 52 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 60 | 13.3 | 12:20 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
8 goals and 6 assists in 52 games — 14 points at 12:20 a night, minus-4, with 3 game-winning goals and 16 penalty minutes on 60 shots.
47.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 25th percentile, across 589 minutes. His ice went 27-27 against an expectation of 21.15-23.70, which for a 20-year-old on a fourth line is a fair line.
The Finesse Game
60 attempts at a median of 24 feet with 43 per cent from inside 20, converting at 13.3 per cent. He plays in the middle of the ice and the shot is a genuine one.
6 assists in 52 games. The passing has not shown up yet at this level and it was the better half of his junior game, which is the thing to watch.
The Physical Game
6-4 and 212 and still filling out. He protects the puck below the goal line, he goes to the net, and he is difficult to move once he is set.
16 penalty minutes in 52 games. He is disciplined and he is not yet strong enough to impose himself on NHL defencemen the way the frame suggests he eventually will.
The Intangibles
Eleventh overall in 2022 by Arizona, and acquired by Tampa Bay in the 2024 trade that sent Mikhail Sergachev to Utah — along with J.J. Moser.
52 NHL games. He is 21 and the most valuable young forward in an organisation that has not had one for a decade.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 589 minutes
- Expected goals
- 47.2%
- 25th pct
- Shot attempts
- 50.1%
- 54th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 27 against. Expected: 21.1 and 23.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 589 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- TBL took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.2% — 3.6 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 589 minutes at five-on-five — 22nd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Hagel | 55.7% | 40.2% | 56.5% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 56.0% | 40.2% | 57.2% |
| Ryan McDonagh | 49.6% | 45.5% | 52.6% |
55.7% together, 40.2% for him apart and 56.5% for Hagel apart. He was worse away from Hagel, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Hagel did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
90 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.