Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

18

Pavel Zacha

Boston Bruins Center

47 points in a first-line role, and the most quietly useful forward on a bad team.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16NJD1022+4000030.016:51
2016-17NJD7081624-1719502839.614:18
2017-18NJD6981725-3302101127.114:22
2018-19NJD61131225-6154229913.116:05
2019-20NJD6582432-1214321978.316:16
2020-21NJD50171835-111050410316.517:09
2021-22NJD70152136-212240114810.116:51
2022-23BOS82213657+261630313116.016:03
2023-24BOS78213859+121860614814.218:06
2024-25BOS82143347-82122513210.619:04
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—628125217342-3616534724105611.816:31

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

14 goals and 33 assists in 82 games for 47 points, minus-8, on 19:04 a night with 5 game-winners.

50.1 per cent at five-on-five, the 54th percentile. His on-ice goals were 51-48 against an expected 46-45 — outscored by 8 on chances that were roughly even, which was the story of most of this roster.

The Finesse Game

A 6-4 centre with better hands than the frame suggests and a habit of making the simple play quickly. 42 per cent of his attempts come from inside 20 feet and only 10 per cent from beyond 40, so he plays inside rather than on the perimeter.

The playmaking is the strength — 33 assists — and it is largely a matter of holding the puck one beat longer than a defenceman expects. There is no rush game and the shot is ordinary; he creates from below the goal line and in the slot.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 211, and he uses it properly on the wall without being a hitter. He wins his share of pucks, protects them with his back to pressure, and is difficult to move off a net front.

21 penalty minutes over 82 games. Four consecutive full seasons — the durability is genuine.

The Intangibles

A 6th overall pick who was a disappointment in New Jersey and has been a useful top-six forward here for three years without ever being what the draft position implied.

That is a fair place to have landed. On a good club he is an excellent third forward on a scoring line; on this one he was asked to be the second option and the numbers show what that costs.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    64% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The playmaking is the strength — 33 assists — and it is largely a matter of holding the puck one beat longer than a defenceman expects.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He wins his share of pucks, protects them with his back to pressure”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “he uses it properly on the wall without being a hitter”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “is difficult to move off a net front”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “There is no rush game”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,099 minutes

Expected goals
50.1%
54th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.1%
44th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 48 against. Expected: 45.6 and 45.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
72nd
Numbers
54th

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
44th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.16 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.11 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.0 mph
72nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1099 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
BOS took 48.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.1% — 1.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,099 minutes at five-on-five — 75th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
David Pastrnak51.7%44.8%50.2%
Morgan Geekie52.8%43.8%52.4%
Mason Lohrei50.1%50.1%46.3%

51.7% together, 44.8% for him apart and 50.2% for Pastrnak apart. He was worse away from Pastrnak, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Pastrnak did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

199 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 10% from beyond forty.