Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

98

Mikhail Sergachev

Utah Hockey Club Defense

Two hundred and nine career assists in 475 games, and 34 games last season to add to them.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17MTL4000+1000020.012:08
2017-18TBL7993140+11383051416.415:22
2018-19TBL7562632+12280001284.717:55
2019-20TBL70102434+15585101188.520:22
2020-21TBL5642630+5300011083.721:58
2021-22TBL7873138+6591011494.722:28
2022-23TBL79105464+13533021566.423:49
2023-24TBL3421719-1616000533.822:33
2024-25 so far
Career47548209257+4728212198555.620:21

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

34 games with Tampa Bay, 2 goals and 17 assists for 19 points, 16 penalty minutes, 22:33 a night and minus-16. He took 48.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 608 minutes, the 39th percentile, and his ice went 17-33 against an expectation of 24.08-25.95.

Seven goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and seven more conceded than they called for. Seventeen goals for and 33 against in 608 minutes is a sixteen-goal hole dug in 34 games and almost none of it is in the chances.

The Finesse Game

81 attempts at a median of 52 feet with 77 per cent of them from beyond forty and 5 per cent from inside twenty, 53 of those on goal, converted at 3.8 per cent against a career 5.61 across 855 shots.

209 career assists against 48 goals in 475 games, including 54 in 2022-23. He is the best passer on this blue line by a wide margin — seventeen assists in 34 games at twenty-two and a half minutes a night — and the puck leaves his stick a beat before anybody expects it to.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 212 and took 16 penalty minutes in 34 games.

282 career penalty minutes in 475 games. He is large enough to defend the front of the net and does it when the game asks, but the game he is paid for happens with the puck on his stick and going the other way.

The Intangibles

Ninth overall in 2016 by Montreal, eight seasons, and Utah will be his third organisation.

A career plus-47 and 257 points in 475 games. He is 26, he has 257 points in 475 games, and 34 games is all last season gave him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 608 minutes

Expected goals
48.1%
39th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.9%
54th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 17 for, 33 against. Expected: 24.1 and 25.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
95th
Numbers
39th

The report ranks him 56 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with TBL · 608 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.1% — 2.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 608 minutes at five-on-five — 25th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nikita Kucherov54.9%41.9%54.4%
Brayden Point49.4%46.8%53.6%
Darren Raddysh51.1%46.1%52.7%

54.9% together, 41.9% for him apart and 54.4% for Kucherov apart. He was worse away from Kucherov, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Kucherov did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

81 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 57 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 77% from beyond forty.