Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

98

Mikhail Sergachev

Utah Mammoth Defense

53 points at 25:07 a night — the largest assignment in this edition — in the first season after the trade.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17MTL4000+1000020.012:08
2017-18TBL7993140+11383051416.415:22
2018-19TBL7562632+12280001284.717:55
2019-20TBL70102434+15585101188.520:22
2020-21TBL5642630+5300011083.721:58
2021-22TBL7873138+6591011494.722:28
2022-23TBL79105464+13533021566.423:49
2023-24TBL3421719-1616000533.822:33
2024-25UTA77153853-83231313211.425:07
2025-26 so far
Career55263247310+39314152129876.421:01

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

15 goals and 38 assists in 77 games — 53 points at 25:07 a night, the largest assignment of any defenceman in this chapter, with 3 power-play goals, a shorthanded goal and 3 game-winners on 132 shots. Minus-8.

52.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 74th percentile, across 1,309 minutes. His ice went 45-45 against an expectation of 57.41-52.40 — twelve goals of scoring missing and seven conceded above expectation.

The Finesse Game

132 attempts at a median of 52 feet with 75 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 11.4 per cent for 15 goals — more than any defenceman on the club by eleven. That is a very high rate from that distance and it says the shot is genuinely heavy.

38 assists is the number that makes him a first-pair defenceman. He carries the puck out of his own zone under pressure, he escapes the first forechecker, and the outlet pass is quick and accurate.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 212 and he plays a hard game. He clears the front of his own net, he finishes checks, and he defends the rush by stepping up rather than backing off.

32 penalty minutes in 77 games at twenty-five minutes a night is a low rate. He is not an agitator and he is rarely beaten badly enough to have to reach.

The Intangibles

Ninth overall in 2016 by Montreal and traded to Tampa Bay before he had played a season, where he won two Stanley Cups — 552 games and 310 points.

He broke his tibia and fibula in a single play in February 2024 and came back to play 77 games and twenty-five minutes a night. Utah acquired him in the summer of 2024 for J.J. Moser, Conor Geekie and picks. He is 27.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,309 minutes

Expected goals
52.3%
74th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.2%
84th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 45 against. Expected: 57.4 and 52.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
91st
Numbers
74th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1309 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
UTA took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.3% — 0.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,309 minutes at five-on-five — 92nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Schmaltz53.8%51.4%51.9%
Clayton Keller53.9%51.4%51.1%
John Marino55.5%50.7%53.1%

53.8% together, 51.4% for him apart and 51.9% for Schmaltz apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

215 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 39 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 75% from beyond forty.