This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Michael Carcone
Utah Mammoth Left Wing
Undrafted, 5-9, and the 93rd percentile of chances in 53 games.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | ARI | 21 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 11.1 | 12:19 |
| 2022-23 | ARI | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13.3 | 12:39 |
| 2023-24 | ARI | 74 | 21 | 8 | 29 | -2 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 111 | 18.9 | 11:16 |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 53 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 9.3 | 11:26 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 157 | 34 | 23 | 57 | -14 | 87 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 237 | 14.3 | 11:33 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
7 goals and 12 assists in 53 games — 19 points at 11:26 a night, minus-7, with 36 penalty minutes on 75 shots.
53.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 93rd percentile, across 557 minutes. His ice went 24-29 against an expectation of 24.58-21.09 — almost exactly what the chances predicted at both ends.
The Finesse Game
75 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 37 per cent from inside 20, and 7 goals at 9.3 per cent. He scored 21 goals the season before on a similar volume, so the finishing swings hard.
12 assists in 53 games. He is a straight-line forechecker who puts the puck at the net; the creation is limited and the pace is genuine.
The Physical Game
5-9 and 182 and he hits everybody. He forechecks first, he finishes checks on men considerably heavier, and he is irritating to line up against.
36 penalty minutes in 53 games is a high rate for a fourth-line winger and a share of it is the second penalty in a sequence he started.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, and he played six full seasons in the American League and the ECHL before an NHL job at 26 — 157 games and 57 points.
He is 29. A 5-9 undrafted winger who has scored 21 goals in a season and posts a 93rd-percentile chance share is worth more than the fourth-line minutes he gets.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“**Undrafted**, and he played six full seasons in the American League and the ECHL before an NHL job at 26 — 157 games and 57 points.”
“He forechecks first, he finishes checks on men considerably heavier, and he is irritating to line up against.”
“**5-9 and 182 and he hits everybody.**”
“He forechecks first, he finishes checks on men considerably heavier, and he is irritating to line up against.”
“**36 penalty minutes in 53 games** is a high rate for a fourth-line winger and a share of it is the second penalty in a sequence he started.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 557 minutes
- Expected goals
- 53.8%
- 84th pct
- Shot attempts
- 54.2%
- 89th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 29 against. Expected: 24.6 and 21.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 35 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 53 games
- Top speed
- 23.3 mph
- 94th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.47 a game
- Distance
- 1.99 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.5 mph
- 76th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 557 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- UTA took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.8% — 0.6 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 557 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Stenlund | 51.1% | 57.6% | 50.3% |
| Ian Cole | 53.4% | 54.1% | 52.9% |
| Michael Kesselring | 55.3% | 53.0% | 53.9% |
51.1% together, 57.6% for him apart and 50.3% for Stenlund apart. He was better away from Stenlund, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Stenlund.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
124 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.