Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

82

Kevin Stenlund

Utah Mammoth Center

Six-foot-three, 14 goals from a fourth line, and a Stanley Cup ring from the summer before.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19CBJ40000400030.010:58
2019-20CBJ326410+283015710.513:59
2020-21CBJ325510-480014211.912:32
2021-22CBJ30000200030.07:32
2022-23WPG54639+320020639.511:39
2023-24FLA8111415-10620238113.612:36
2024-25UTA82141428-64001110213.714:21
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—288423072-1514435635112.012:59

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

14 goals and 14 assists in 82 games — 28 points at 14:21 a night, minus-6, with a shorthanded goal and 40 penalty minutes on 102 shots.

50.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 68th percentile. His ice went 28-37 against an expectation of 33.83-33.02, which is a fourth line that came out slightly ahead of a fourth-line expectation.

The Finesse Game

102 attempts at a median of 30 feet with 31 per cent from inside 20, converting at 13.7 per cent for a career-high 14 goals.

14 assists in 82 games. There is not much creation; he wins the draw that begins the shift and makes the simple play, and 72 points in 288 NHL games is the honest record.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 213 and he plays a heavy, honest game. He forechecks hard, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he blocks shots.

40 penalty minutes in 82 games is a moderate rate. He is not an agitator; the physicality is structural.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick of Columbus in 2015 out of Sweden, and 288 games and 72 points across four organisations — with a Stanley Cup in Florida in 2024.

He is 29 and Utah signed him in the summer of that year. A fourth-line centre who kills penalties and has won is exactly what a young club buys.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “he wins the draw that begins the shift and makes the simple play, and 72 points in 288 NHL games is the honest record.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks hard, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he blocks shots.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He forechecks hard, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he blocks shots.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He forechecks hard, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he blocks shots.”

  • agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He is not an agitator; the physicality is structural.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 892 minutes

Expected goals
50.6%
59th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.4%
46th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 37 against. Expected: 33.8 and 33.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
49th
Numbers
59th

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
24th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.50 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.30 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.8 mph
65th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 892 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
UTA took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.6% — 2.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 892 minutes at five-on-five — 44th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alexander Kerfoot54.5%46.2%54.1%
Ian Cole49.4%51.5%54.2%
Michael Carcone51.1%50.3%57.6%

54.5% together, 46.2% for him apart and 54.1% for Kerfoot apart. He was worse away from Kerfoot, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Kerfoot did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

146 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 27 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.