This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Michael Carcone
Utah Hockey Club Left Wing
Undrafted, 5-9, and 21 goals in 74 games at 18.9 per cent.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | ARI | 21 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 11.1 | 12:19 |
| 2022-23 | ARI | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13.3 | 12:39 |
| 2023-24 | ARI | 74 | 21 | 8 | 29 | -2 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 111 | 18.9 | 11:16 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 104 | 27 | 11 | 38 | -7 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 162 | 16.7 | 11:36 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
74 games, 21 goals and 8 assists for 29 points, 1 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 35 penalty minutes, 11:16 a night and minus-2, with 4 game-winners. He took 44.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 792 minutes, the 17th percentile, and his ice went 38-38 against an expectation of 30.24-37.92.
Eight goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and level at the other end. Forty-four point four per cent is tied for the lowest chance share of any forward on the club and he still finished level.
The Finesse Game
149 attempts at a median of 25 feet with 40 per cent of them from inside twenty and 24 per cent from beyond forty, 108 of those on goal, converted at 18.9 per cent against a career 16.67 across 162 shots.
Twenty-seven career goals against 11 assists in 104 games. Eighteen point nine per cent is the highest rate on this club and it is not a rate anybody sustains; the shot is genuinely quick and 149 attempts in eleven minutes a night is the number that will decide whether he keeps the job.
The Physical Game
He is 5-9 and 182 and took 35 penalty minutes.
Fifty-one career penalty minutes in 104 games. He is 5-9, as short as anybody on the roster, and gets to the inside anyway, taking 40 per cent of his attempts from within twenty feet at a size where that means wearing something for each one.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, three seasons, and Utah is his second organisation.
A career minus-7 in 104 games from a man nobody drafted. He reached the league at 25, played 30 games in his first two seasons, and scored 21 goals in his third.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“Eighteen point nine per cent is the highest rate on this club and it is not a rate anybody sustains; the shot is genuinely quick and 149 attempts in eleven minutes a night is the number that will decide whether he keeps the job.”
“He is 5-9, as short as anybody on the roster, and gets to the inside anyway, taking 40 per cent of his attempts from within twenty feet at a size where that means wearing something for each one.”
“A career minus-7 in 104 games from a man nobody drafted.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 792 minutes
- Expected goals
- 44.4%
- 18th pct
- Shot attempts
- 45.8%
- 21st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 38 against. Expected: 30.2 and 37.9.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 54 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 74 games
- Top speed
- 22.5 mph
- 69th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.58 a game
- Distance
- 1.87 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 88.2 mph
- 58th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with ARI · 792 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- ARI took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.4% — 4.5 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 792 minutes at five-on-five — 38th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kerfoot | 40.5% | 46.2% | 48.6% |
| Liam O'Brien | 44.1% | 44.5% | 48.3% |
| Juuso Välimäki | 47.7% | 42.9% | 51.8% |
40.5% together, 46.2% for him apart and 48.6% for Kerfoot apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
149 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.