This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Brandon Carlo

Six-foot-five, acquired at the deadline from Boston, and one goal in 83 games across two clubs.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	BOS	82	6	10	16	+9	59	0	1	0	88	6.8	20:49
2017-18	BOS	76	0	6	6	+10	45	0	0	0	76	0.0	19:14
2018-19	BOS	72	2	8	10	+22	47	0	0	0	116	1.7	20:55
2019-20	BOS	67	4	15	19	+16	33	0	0	0	111	3.6	20:29
2020-21	BOS	27	3	1	4	+1	12	0	0	1	43	7.0	18:43
2021-22	BOS	79	6	9	15	+2	31	0	1	0	125	4.8	19:42
2022-23	BOS	75	3	13	16	+44	38	0	0	0	94	3.2	18:50
2023-24	BOS	76	4	10	14	+23	42	0	0	1	79	5.1	19:54
2024-25	BOS/TOR	83	1	11	12	+6	37	0	0	0	77	1.3	18:54
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	637	29	83	112	+133	344	0	2	2	809	3.6	19:47

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 11 assists in 83 games across Boston and Toronto — 12 points at 18:54 a night, plus-6, with 37 penalty minutes.

46.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 23rd percentile — the worst mark of any regular defenceman on the club. His ice went 43-47 against an expectation of 43.57-50.36 — six goals better than expected for and six fewer against, which is a defenceman whose results were considerably better than his chances.

The Finesse Game

77 attempts in 83 games at a median of 58 feet with 79 per cent from beyond 40 and 3 per cent from inside 20, and 1 goal at a 1.3 per cent conversion. 29 goals in 637 career games.

11 assists. The first pass is simple and it is where the limitation is; under a heavy forecheck the exits stop and he chips it off the wall.

The Physical Game

6-5 and 227 and he defends the rush with reach almost nobody can beat. He clears the front of his own net, he blocks shots, and he does not need to hit anybody to end a play.

37 penalty minutes in 83 games is a moderate rate. He is not an agitator and he does not take liberties; everything about the physical game is structural.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2015 and 637 games with a career plus-133, nine seasons of it in Boston on very good defensive clubs.

He is 28. Toronto acquired him at the deadline in March, which was the club buying exactly the thing every spring has said it lacks.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
83 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
33% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 0th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens
“**6-5 and 227 and he defends the rush with reach almost nobody can beat.** He clears the front of his own net, he blocks shots, and he does not need to hit anybody to end a play.”
clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net
“He clears the front of his own net, he blocks shots, and he does not need to hit anybody to end a play.”
shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it
“He clears the front of his own net, he blocks shots, and he does not need to hit anybody to end a play.”
takes-libertieshe lacks it· crosses the line and knows where it is
“He is not an agitator and he does not take liberties; everything about the physical game is structural.”
transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control
“The first pass is simple and it is where the limitation is; under a heavy forecheck the exits stop and he chips it off the wall.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,262 minutes

Expected goals: 46.4%; 22nd pct
Shot attempts: 45.4%; 14th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 47 against. Expected: 43.6 and 50.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

30th

Numbers

22nd

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 83 games

Top speed: 22.2 mph; 72nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.13 a game
Distance: 2.49 miles a game
Hardest shot: 92.3 mph; 64th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with BOS · 995 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: TOR took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.4% — 3.8 below the club he did it on.
The role: 1,262 minutes at five-on-five — 89th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Nikita Zadorov	41.3%	48.1%	51.1%
Charlie Coyle	42.8%	47.4%	51.5%
Elias Lindholm	38.8%	48.4%	53.1%

41.3% together, 48.1% for him apart and 51.1% for Zadorov apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

120 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 36 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 79% from beyond forty.