This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Brandon Carlo
Toronto Maple Leafs Defense
Six-foot-five, acquired at the deadline from Boston, and one goal in 83 games across two clubs.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | BOS | 82 | 6 | 10 | 16 | +9 | 59 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 6.8 | 20:49 |
| 2017-18 | BOS | 76 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 0.0 | 19:14 |
| 2018-19 | BOS | 72 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +22 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 1.7 | 20:55 |
| 2019-20 | BOS | 67 | 4 | 15 | 19 | +16 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 3.6 | 20:29 |
| 2020-21 | BOS | 27 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 7.0 | 18:43 |
| 2021-22 | BOS | 79 | 6 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 4.8 | 19:42 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 75 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +44 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 3.2 | 18:50 |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 76 | 4 | 10 | 14 | +23 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 5.1 | 19:54 |
| 2024-25 | BOS/TOR | 83 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +6 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 1.3 | 18:54 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 637 | 29 | 83 | 112 | +133 | 344 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 809 | 3.6 | 19:47 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
1 goal and 11 assists in 83 games across Boston and Toronto — 12 points at 18:54 a night, plus-6, with 37 penalty minutes.
46.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 23rd percentile — the worst mark of any regular defenceman on the club. His ice went 50-44 against an expectation of 44.02-50.06 — six goals better than expected for and six fewer against, which is a defenceman whose results were considerably better than his chances.
The Finesse Game
77 attempts in 83 games at a median of 58 feet with 79 per cent from beyond 40 and 3 per cent from inside 20, and 1 goal at a 1.3 per cent conversion. 29 goals in 637 career games.
11 assists. The first pass is simple and it is where the limitation is; under a heavy forecheck the exits stop and he chips it off the wall.
The Physical Game
6-5 and 227 and he defends the rush with reach almost nobody can beat. He clears the front of his own net, he blocks shots, and he does not need to hit anybody to end a play.
37 penalty minutes in 83 games is a moderate rate. He is not an agitator and he does not take liberties; everything about the physical game is structural.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick in 2015 and 637 games with a career plus-133, nine seasons of it in Boston on very good defensive clubs.
He is 28. Toronto acquired him at the deadline in March, which was the club buying exactly the thing every spring has said it lacks.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,262 minutes
- Expected goals
- 46.8%
- 23rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 45.5%
- 14th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 44 against. Expected: 44.0 and 50.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 with BOS · 995 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- TOR took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.8% — 3.4 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 1,262 minutes at five-on-five — 89th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Zadorov | 42.4% | 48.3% | 51.2% |
| Charlie Coyle | 43.3% | 47.8% | 51.4% |
| Elias Lindholm | 42.2% | 48.1% | 51.1% |
42.4% together, 48.3% for him apart and 51.2% for Zadorov apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
120 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 36 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 79% from beyond forty.