Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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24

Bowen Byram

Buffalo Sabres Defense

38 points, 82 games, and the healthiest season of a career defined by not having one.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21COL19022+123000210.017:31
2021-22COL3051217+7121024910.218:48
2022-23COL42101424+7382116515.421:53
2023-24COL/BUF731118290530008413.120:21
2024-25BUF8273138+1146002947.422:42
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—2463377110+2617231531310.520:59

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 31 assists in 82 games for 38 points, plus-11, on 22:42 a night — 82 games, after playing more than 42 once in his first four seasons.

48.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 42nd percentile, over 1,474 minutes — more than anybody else on the roster. On-ice goals of 79-64 against an expected 58-60.

The Finesse Game

The skating is the best on the blue line after Dahlin and it is what the whole game runs on. He leaves his own zone under control, changes direction without losing speed, and is genuinely dangerous joining a rush.

94 shots and 7 goals, with 19 per cent of the attempts from inside 20 feet, which for a defenceman is an aggressive profile — he goes to the slot. 31 assists is a fair return for the minutes on a club that scored 269.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 205, and he defends with feet rather than weight. He does not clear a crease and does not win a battle by force, and against a heavy forecheck he escapes rather than absorbs.

46 penalty minutes over 82 games. The important number remains 82: he had four concussions in three years earlier in his career and the fact that he played a full season is the single best thing in this chapter.

The Intangibles

A 4th overall pick, a Cup at 21, a run of head injuries that threatened the career, and a trade at 23.

He is 24 and has now shown he can play 82 games. The projection is a genuine top-four defenceman; the reason to hold it lightly has never been the ability.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    25.9% of his attempts in the slot, 100th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He leaves his own zone under control, changes direction without losing speed, and is genuinely dangerous joining a rush.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He does not clear a crease and does not win a battle by force, and against a heavy forecheck he escapes rather than absorbs.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “does not win a battle by force”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “against a heavy forecheck he escapes rather than absorbs”

  • edgesa strength· changes direction at speed; the forechecker commits and he is gone

    “He leaves his own zone under control, changes direction without losing speed, and is genuinely dangerous joining a rush.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,474 minutes

Expected goals
48.8%
43rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.7%
49th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 79 for, 64 against. Expected: 57.6 and 60.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
43rd

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
78th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.94 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.28 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.2 mph
54th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1474 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
BUF took 47.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.8% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,474 minutes at five-on-five — 98th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Rasmus Dahlin54.7%44.3%52.6%
Tage Thompson49.9%48.3%51.8%
Alex Tuch50.9%48.0%49.4%

54.7% together, 44.3% for him apart and 52.6% for Dahlin apart. He was worse away from Dahlin, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Dahlin did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

139 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 19% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 55% from beyond forty.