This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Alexander Kerfoot

The 89th percentile of chances from a third-line centre, and 49 per cent of his attempts from inside 20 feet.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2017-18	COL	79	19	24	43	-7	28	5	0	0	81	23.5	13:27
2018-19	COL	78	15	27	42	-9	38	4	0	1	116	12.9	14:53
2019-20	TOR	65	9	19	28	-2	32	1	0	1	88	10.2	14:46
2020-21	TOR	56	8	15	23	+2	12	0	1	1	68	11.8	14:27
2021-22	TOR	82	13	38	51	+19	20	0	0	1	117	11.1	15:13
2022-23	TOR	82	10	22	32	+8	30	2	1	1	133	7.5	14:37
2023-24	ARI	82	13	32	45	-15	26	2	2	3	103	12.6	17:26
2024-25	UTA	81	11	17	28	-5	14	0	2	1	101	10.9	15:15
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	605	98	194	292	-9	200	14	6	9	807	12.1	15:03

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 17 assists in 81 games — 28 points at 15:15 a night, minus-5, with 2 shorthanded goals and only 14 penalty minutes.

54.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 89th percentile. His ice went 26-35 against an expectation of 42.47-35.77 — three goals of scoring missing and five conceded above expectation, on a third line that was winning the chances comfortably.

The Finesse Game

101 attempts at a median of 20 feet with 49 per cent from inside 20, converting at 10.9 per cent. He goes to the paint and the finishing is ordinary.

17 assists in 81 games. The value is positional rather than creative — he supports the puck low, he makes the simple play out of his own end, and he does not turn it over.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 185 and light. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen.

14 penalty minutes in 81 games. He does not foul, he is trusted with a lead, and he is a first-unit penalty killer on a unit that finished 30th in the league.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick in 2012 who went to Harvard, did not sign with New Jersey, and became a free agent — 605 games and 292 points across four organisations.

He is 31. On a club with three centres 25 and under, the job is to take the draws none of them should be taking yet.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“He goes to the paint and the finishing is ordinary.”
defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead
“The value is positional rather than creative — he supports the puck low, he makes the simple play out of his own end, and he does not turn it over.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He does not foul, he is trusted with a lead, and he is a first-unit penalty killer on a unit that finished 30th in the league.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen.”
faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it
“On a club with three centres 25 and under, the job is to take the draws none of them should be taking yet.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 951 minutes

Expected goals: 54.3%; 87th pct
Shot attempts: 54.2%; 89th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 26 for, 35 against. Expected: 42.5 and 35.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

49th

Numbers

87th

The numbers rank him 38 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed: 23.1 mph; 90th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.63 a game
Distance: 2.45 miles a game
Hardest shot: 81.4 mph; 26th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 951 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: UTA took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.3% — 1.1 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 951 minutes at five-on-five — 54th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Kevin Stenlund	54.5%	54.1%	46.2%
Ian Cole	52.4%	55.3%	53.2%
Mikhail Sergachev	52.9%	55.0%	51.9%

54.5% together, 54.1% for him apart and 46.2% for Stenlund apart. Stenlund was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Stenlund than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

142 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.