Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

71

Luke Kunin

San Jose Sharks Center

Forty-two penalty minutes in thirty-one games, and a hundred and ninety-seven pounds of it.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18MIN19224-313010326.312:59
2018-19MIN4961117-927001886.815:53
2019-20MIN63151631-105501112811.715:28
2020-21NSH3810919+3130027114.113:59
2021-22NSH8213922-119900012510.413:50
2022-23SJS315813-942200588.615:26
2023-24 so far—————————————
Career—2825155106-3924922450210.214:42

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 8 assists in 31 games — 13 points — at 15:26 a night. Minus-9, 58 shots at 8.6 per cent, two on the power play, 42 penalty minutes.

Thirty-one games. It is the shortest season of a six-year career and the file is thin because of it.

45.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five across 369 minutes, the 17th percentile, with his ice at 12-19 against an expectation of 11.95-14.41.

He started 45 per cent of his shifts in the attacking zone, the 28th percentile.

The Finesse Game

58 shots at a median of 29 feet.

Inside twenty feet: 19 shots on goal and three goals — 15.79 per cent, below the league forward rate of 17.71. From twenty to forty: 18 shots and two goals, 11.11, on the league rate of 11.05. Beyond forty: 17 shots and none.

On 54 shots on goal that is a distribution and not a finding. The career figure is more useful: 51 goals in 282 games at 10.2 per cent, which is an ordinary bottom-six rate.

83 tracked attempts, 15 of them tip-ins — an 18.1 per cent share — and three slap shots.

85.0 mph at the 12th percentile. There is no shot here and the goals come from the net front, which for a 6-0 centre who plays the way he does is the only place they were ever going to come from.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 197 pounds, and this is the file.

42 penalty minutes in 31 games, against 249 in 282 career games — nearly a minute a game for a career.

1.6 bursts above twenty miles an hour a game at the 76th percentile, a top speed of 22.3 mph at the 52nd, 2.23 miles a game at the 26th. He is quick in short bursts on very little ground covered, which is a fifteen-minute checking line’s tracking signature.

He is nasty and he retaliates. The 99 penalty minutes he took in Nashville in 2021-22 and the 42 in thirty-one games last season are not shot-blocking minutes; they are the record of a forward who finishes every check and then answers for it.

He takes liberties after the whistle, which is a real part of what a fourth line is for and is also why the plus-minus follows him around.

The Intangibles

Fifteenth overall in 2016, six seasons, 282 games, 106 points across Minnesota, Nashville and San Jose.

51 goals and 55 assists. The 31-point season in Minnesota in 2019-20 is the peak and he has been a third-line forward since.

He is twenty-five, which is young enough that the thirty-one games last season are an interruption rather than a decline. A first-round pick who has become a physical bottom-six centre is not a failure; it is the ordinary outcome for a fifteenth pick.

What San Jose needs from him is the 42 penalty minutes and the checking, and on a club this thin he will get more ice time than that role usually earns.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “He is nasty and he retaliates.”

  • takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is

    “He takes liberties after the whistle, which is a real part of what a fourth line is for and is also why the plus-minus follows him around.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “There is no shot here and the goals come from the net front, which for a 6-0 centre who plays the way he does is the only place they were ever going to come from.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 369 minutes

Expected goals
45.3%
22nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
41.6%
4th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 19 against. Expected: 11.9 and 14.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
70th
Numbers
22nd

The report ranks him 48 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 31 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
58th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.61 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.23 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.0 mph
35th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 369 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
SJS took 48.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.3% — 3.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
369 minutes at five-on-five — 9th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Bonino39.2%52.5%52.5%
Marc-Edouard Vlasic43.1%46.8%50.8%
Matt Benning40.7%48.0%46.5%

39.2% together, 52.5% for him apart and 52.5% for Bonino apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

79 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.