Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

71

Luke Kunin

San Jose Sharks Center

The 25th-most hits and the 27th-most penalties taken of 393 forwards, and ninety-nine penalty minutes.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18MIN19224-313010326.312:59
2018-19MIN4961117-927001886.815:53
2019-20MIN63151631-105501112811.715:28
2020-21NSH3810919+3130027114.113:59
2021-22NSH8213922-119900012510.413:50
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—251464793-3020702444410.414:36

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games for Nashville, 13 goals and 9 assists at 13:50 a night, minus-11, ninety-nine penalty minutes, 125 shots. Fifteenth overall in 2016 by Minnesota, five seasons, 251 games, 93 points, 207 career penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

1.20 even-strength points per 60 is the 16th percentile and nine per cent of his points came on the power play off fifty-seven seconds a night.

6.61 shots per 60 is the 36th percentile at 10.4 per cent, from a 26-foot median with forty-three per cent from the slot. Thirteen goals off 125 shots is a fourth-line return on a fourth-line workload.

1.06 takeaways per 60 is the 12th percentile against 0.90 giveaways at the 11th — very little happens on his stick in either direction.

44.2 per cent of the expected goals is the 12th percentile and 45.7 per cent of the attempts the 15th, out of 51.3 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 299th-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — dead level, with no deployment excuse at all.

His ice went 34-45 against an expectation of 33.71-42.50.

The Physical Game

11.80 hits per 60 is the 25th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, at 6-0 and 197 pounds across all eighty-two.

1.64 penalties taken per 60 is the 27th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, against 0.95 drawn, and the net of minus-0.69 is the 3rd percentile.

Ninety-nine penalty minutes in eighty-two games at 13:50 a night, on a club that took the most short-handed time in the league. 2.70 blocks per 60 is the 87th percentile.

The Intangibles

22.4 mph is the 47th percentile and 5.0 bursts per 60 the 48th, against 8.99 miles per 60 at the 7th percentile — very little total ground on a small shift.

Eighty-two games at twenty-four is the file’s other real asset. He had never previously played more than sixty-three in a season.

He is 24 with 251 games and ninety-three points. The hits, the blocks and the durability are three real things and the first is close to the top of the league. A 44.2 per cent chance share out of a dead-level chair, the 3rd-percentile penalty ledger and 207 career penalty minutes are what a club takes on with them — and San Jose already spends 4:31 a game short-handed.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “11.80 hits per 60 is the 25th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, at 6-0 and 197 pounds across all eighty-two.”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “1.64 penalties taken per 60 is the 27th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, against 0.95 drawn, and the net of minus-0.69 is the 3rd percentile.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 989 minutes

Expected goals
44.2%
15th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.7%
19th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 45 against. Expected: 33.7 and 42.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
15th

The report ranks him 52 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 82 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
63rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.15 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.07 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.1 mph
55th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with NSH · 989 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NSH took 49.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.2% — 5.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 989 minutes at five-on-five — 60th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Johansen45.3%43.4%48.1%
Roman Josi41.8%46.0%54.3%
Eeli Tolvanen45.6%43.3%54.4%

45.3% together, 43.4% for him apart and 48.1% for Johansen apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

172 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.