Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
71

Luke Kunin

Florida Panthers Center

18 points, 55 penalty minutes, and a minus-28 — the worst rating in this chapter by 13.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18MIN19224-313010326.312:59
2018-19MIN4961117-927001886.815:53
2019-20MIN63151631-105501112811.715:28
2020-21NSH3810919+3130027114.113:59
2021-22NSH8213922-119900012510.413:50
2022-23SJS315813-942200588.615:26
2023-24SJS7711718-30832019811.215:44
2024-25SJS/CBJ7511718-28550001129.814:42
2025-26 so far
Career4347369142-9738742571210.314:53

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 7 assists in 75 games for 18 points, minus-28, on 14:42 a night with San Jose.

112 shots and 11 goals at 9.8 per cent, on the worst club in the league. The minus-28 belongs largely to the environment and it is still the worst number in this chapter.

The Finesse Game

Limited. 18 points in 75 games is close to his rate over the last four seasons, and 7 assists says there is no playmaking.

He goes to the net and shoots from close range. That is the whole offensive contribution and it has produced one 15-goal season in eight years.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 197, and he plays a hard, willing, physical game. He forechecks, finishes checks, and takes a defensive-zone draw.

55 penalty minutes over 75 games is a moderate rate for the style. The body has cost him — two knee reconstructions before turning 25.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, four organisations, and a career that the injuries redirected from scoring to checking.

Florida signed him for the fourth line and the penalty kill. At 28 the projection is 15 points, and on a club with genuine depth he is a thirteenth forward rather than a fourth-liner.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 931 minutes

Expected goals
42.2%
6th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
41.6%
2nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 47 against. Expected: 29.9 and 41.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
6th

The report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with SJS · 805 minutes at five-on-five

  • Barclay Goodrow40%
  • Alexander Wennberg36%
  • Will Smith16%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CBJ took 48.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.2% — 6.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
931 minutes at five-on-five — 50th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Barclay Goodrow36.4%45.3%40.1%
Alexander Wennberg42.4%42.0%44.8%
Mario Ferraro46.3%40.4%46.4%

36.4% together, 45.3% for him apart and 40.1% for Goodrow apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

157 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.