This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Lucas Raymond
Detroit Red Wings Left Wing
80 points at 23 and a 52.4 per cent chance share, and a minus-15 that belongs to the goaltending rather than to him.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | DET | 82 | 23 | 34 | 57 | -32 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 184 | 12.5 | 18:09 |
| 2022-23 | DET | 74 | 17 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 134 | 12.7 | 17:23 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 82 | 31 | 41 | 72 | -12 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 163 | 19.0 | 17:45 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 82 | 27 | 53 | 80 | -15 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 192 | 14.1 | 18:47 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 320 | 98 | 156 | 254 | -76 | 88 | 24 | 1 | 15 | 673 | 14.6 | 18:02 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
27 goals and 53 assists in 82 games for 80 points, minus-15, on 18:47 a night and 192 shots — the most points on the club.
53.2 per cent at five-on-five, the 79th percentile — the best figure among the club’s regular forwards. His on-ice goals were 42-47 against an expected 47-42, so five goals of finishing disappeared at one end, six more went in than the chances called for at the other, and the minus-15 came mostly from special teams.
The Finesse Game
The best passer in the organisation and the reason the power play is 2nd in the league. He holds pucks on the half-wall, waits for a killer to commit, and puts it through the space rather than around it — 53 assists on a club that scored 238 goals is a real total.
14.1 per cent shooting on 192 attempts is a fair rate and a third of them come from inside 20 feet. The skating is good rather than dangerous; he creates by delaying rather than by beating anybody wide.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 186, and he is not physical. He avoids the wall, does not forecheck heavily, and does not win pucks back.
18 penalty minutes across 82 games. The durability has been excellent — three consecutive full seasons.
The Intangibles
A fourth overall pick who has improved in every season and signed a long contract before the price rose further.
At 23 he is the most valuable asset in the organisation and the one thing about this rebuild that has gone exactly as intended. The reservation is narrow: at 186 pounds with no defensive game, he needs a centre who wins pucks, and the club’s answer to that is a 21-year-old.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
53.2% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 46.2% for his club in the minutes he sat: +7.0, 97th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
“He holds pucks on the half-wall, waits for a killer to commit, and puts it through the space rather than around it”
“He avoids the wall, does not forecheck heavily, and does not win pucks back.”
“He avoids the wall, does not forecheck heavily, and does not win pucks back.”
“at 186 pounds with no defensive game, he needs a centre who wins pucks”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,083 minutes
- Expected goals
- 53.2%
- 80th pct
- Shot attempts
- 52.3%
- 76th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 47 against. Expected: 47.1 and 41.5.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games
- Top speed
- 22.9 mph
- 80th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.62 a game
- Distance
- 2.95 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.9 mph
- 78th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 1083 minutes at five-on-five
- Dylan Larkin81%
- Marco Kasper32%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- DET took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.2% — 5.0 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,083 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 53.9% | 49.6% | 47.8% |
| Moritz Seider | 53.4% | 52.8% | 48.0% |
| Ben Chiarot | 49.7% | 55.8% | 42.5% |
53.9% together, 49.6% for him apart and 47.8% for Larkin apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
276 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 33% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.