Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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54

Aatu Räty

Vancouver Canucks Center

Seven goals on 34 shots — a 20.6 per cent conversion — in 33 games at 22.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23NYI/VAN15213040001612.58:23
2024-25VAN337411-1140003420.610:39
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—489514-1180005018.09:56

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 4 assists in 33 games — 11 points at 10:39 a night, minus-1, with 14 penalty minutes on 34 shots, converting at 20.6 per cent.

47.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 42nd percentile, across 295 minutes. His ice went 12-15 against an expectation of 9.67-10.70, which on a sample that size is noise.

The Finesse Game

34 attempts at a median of 24 feet with 40 per cent from inside 20, and 7 goals. Twenty per cent will not repeat; the shot location will.

4 assists in 33 games. The passing has not shown up at this level and it was the better half of his junior game, which is the thing to watch.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 204 and he plays a heavy, honest game. He wins the puck below the goal line, he goes to the net, and he forechecks properly.

14 penalty minutes in 33 games. He is disciplined and he wins the draw that begins the shift, which for a fourth-line centre is most of the job.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick of the Islanders in 2021 who had been the presumptive first overall pick a year earlier and fell out of the first round entirely — traded to Vancouver in 2023 in the Bo Horvat deal.

48 NHL games. He is 22 and a fourth-line centre on a club that has almost no centre depth behind its two injured ones.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He wins the puck below the goal line, he goes to the net, and he forechecks properly.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He wins the puck below the goal line, he goes to the net, and he forechecks properly.”

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “He is disciplined and he wins the draw that begins the shift, which for a fourth-line centre is most of the job.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The passing has not shown up at this level and it was the better half of his junior game, which is the thing to watch.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 295 minutes

Expected goals
47.5%
31st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.7%
61st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 15 against. Expected: 9.7 and 10.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
31st

The report ranks him 29 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 33 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
27th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.39 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.72 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
78.5 mph
16th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 295 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
VAN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.5% — 1.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
295 minutes at five-on-five — 5th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kiefer Sherwood50.5%45.1%47.1%
Quinn Hughes51.7%44.9%54.5%
Nils Hoglander49.6%46.5%52.9%

50.5% together, 45.1% for him apart and 47.1% for Sherwood apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

45 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 29% from beyond forty.