This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Dylan Larkin
Detroit Red Wings Center
70 points and 234 shots at 29, and a minus-16 as the captain of a club that has missed nine straight playoffs.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | DET | 80 | 23 | 22 | 45 | +11 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 221 | 10.4 | 16:33 |
| 2016-17 | DET | 80 | 17 | 15 | 32 | -28 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 9.6 | 16:09 |
| 2017-18 | DET | 82 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -9 | 61 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 232 | 6.9 | 19:51 |
| 2018-19 | DET | 76 | 32 | 41 | 73 | -6 | 75 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 287 | 11.2 | 21:51 |
| 2019-20 | DET | 71 | 19 | 34 | 53 | -21 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 8.5 | 21:15 |
| 2020-21 | DET | 44 | 9 | 14 | 23 | -14 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 6.7 | 20:24 |
| 2021-22 | DET | 71 | 31 | 38 | 69 | -18 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 212 | 14.6 | 19:39 |
| 2022-23 | DET | 80 | 32 | 47 | 79 | -7 | 45 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 244 | 13.1 | 19:33 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 68 | 33 | 36 | 69 | +5 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 221 | 14.9 | 20:10 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 82 | 30 | 40 | 70 | -16 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 234 | 12.8 | 20:04 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 734 | 242 | 334 | 576 | -103 | 451 | 72 | 8 | 31 | 2186 | 11.1 | 19:28 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
30 goals and 40 assists in 82 games for 70 points, minus-16, on 20:04 a night with 13 on the power play and 234 shots.
51.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 66th percentile. His on-ice goals were 31-38 against an expected 47-44 — 16 goals of finishing removed from a line that was creating more than it allowed, which is the largest such gap on the club.
The Finesse Game
The skating is genuinely elite and it is what everything runs on. He enters the zone with speed and control, which is the rarest thing a centre can do, and at 29 there is no sign of it thinning.
234 shots is a very high volume and 40 per cent of them come from inside 20 feet — he drives to the net rather than settling. The passing is good without being the strength; 40 assists is a fair return.
The Physical Game
6-1 and 204, and he plays hard for a skill centre. He forechecks with force, wins pucks below the goal line, and takes the hardest defensive-zone draws.
40 penalty minutes over 82 games. The durability has improved — two consecutive full seasons after a run of interruptions.
The Intangibles
The captain, eleven seasons in one organisation, and nine of them without playoff hockey. He has been open about how much that weighs.
At 29 he is a genuine first-line centre on a club that has not built a contender around him. The question the next three years answer is whether the rebuild arrives before the skating goes.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,144 minutes
- Expected goals
- 51.4%
- 66th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.9%
- 73rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 38 against. Expected: 47.0 and 44.5.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 83 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 1144 minutes at five-on-five
- Marco Kasper25%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- DET took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.4% — 3.2 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,144 minutes at five-on-five — 81st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond | 53.0% | 45.5% | 49.8% |
| Moritz Seider | 50.6% | 52.2% | 47.6% |
| Ben Chiarot | 51.2% | 51.5% | 41.9% |
53.0% together, 45.5% for him apart and 49.8% for Raymond apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
337 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 32 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.