This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Kyle Connor

Thirty-four goals and 10 game-winners in 65 games, on six penalty minutes.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	WPG	20	2	3	5	-7	4	0	0	1	24	8.3	12:13
2017-18	WPG	76	31	26	57	+8	16	7	0	7	192	16.2	16:54
2018-19	WPG	82	34	32	66	-7	18	11	1	5	227	15.0	19:15
2019-20	WPG	71	38	35	73	+4	34	9	1	7	239	15.9	21:05
2020-21	WPG	56	26	24	50	-4	12	10	0	5	166	15.7	18:44
2021-22	WPG	79	47	46	93	-3	4	8	3	9	317	14.8	21:47
2022-23	WPG	82	31	49	80	-11	20	8	0	8	273	11.4	20:32
2023-24	WPG	65	34	27	61	-6	6	5	0	10	221	15.4	19:43
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	531	243	242	485	-26	114	58	5	52	1659	14.6	19:28

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

65 games, 34 goals and 27 assists for 61 points, 5 on the power play, 6 penalty minutes, 19:43 a night and minus-6, with 10 game-winners. He took 48.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,012 minutes, the 40th percentile, and his ice went 43-43 against an expectation of 44.75-47.82.

Two goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and five goals of goaltending above them. Ten game-winning goals is the most on the club and the minus-6 is the worst figure of any regular forward on it.

The Finesse Game

288 attempts at a median of 28 feet with 30 per cent of them from inside twenty and 17 per cent from beyond forty, 218 of those on goal, converted at 15.4 per cent against a career 14.65 across 1,659 shots.

243 career goals and 52 game-winners in 531 games. The release is the whole of it — a left-handed shot off the rush that arrives before the goaltender has set — and 218 of his 288 attempts reached the net, which is the highest proportion of any forward on the club who took two hundred.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 183 and took 6 penalty minutes in 65 games.

114 career penalty minutes in 531 games. Six penalty minutes across a season at nearly twenty minutes a night is a forward who does not go near a wall; there is no contact in this game at either end and there never has been.

The Intangibles

Seventeenth overall in 2015 by Winnipeg, eight seasons, one organisation, and 485 points in 531 games.

A career minus-26 and 52 game-winners in 531 games. He is 27, he has scored thirty or more in six different seasons, and 52 game-winners in 531 games is one every ten.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

disciplined· stays out of the box
0.09 penalty minutes a game over 65, 2nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
15:34 a game at five-on-five, 97th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“The release is the whole of it — a left-handed shot off the rush that arrives before the goaltender has set — and 218 of his 288 attempts reached the net, which is the highest proportion of any forward on the club who took two hundred.”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“Six penalty minutes across a season at nearly twenty minutes a night is a forward who does not go near a wall; there is no contact in this game at either end and there never has been.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,012 minutes

Expected goals: 48.3%; 40th pct
Shot attempts: 47.4%; 31st pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 43 against. Expected: 44.8 and 47.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

90th

Numbers

40th

The report ranks him 50 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 65 games

Top speed: 22.9 mph; 82nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.23 a game
Distance: 3.28 miles a game
Hardest shot: 91.8 mph; 81st pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1012 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: WPG took 52.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.3% — 3.7 below the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,012 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Mark Scheifele	48.1%	49.3%	52.1%
Josh Morrissey	51.3%	45.3%	56.0%
Dylan DeMelo	46.4%	49.8%	55.9%

48.1% together, 49.3% for him apart and 52.1% for Scheifele apart. Scheifele was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

288 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 34 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.