Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

9

Alex Iafallo

Winnipeg Jets Left Wing

Undrafted, with 231 points in 502 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18LAK7591625+10120011297.015:06
2018-19LAK82151833-172220214810.116:50
2019-20LAK70172643+11460314212.018:56
2020-21LAK55131730-8440211811.019:53
2021-22LAK79172037+483122157.918:30
2022-23LAK59142236+142070513310.516:18
2023-24WPG82111627+1462021209.215:19
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—50296135231+18862411710059.617:09

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 11 goals and 16 assists for 27 points, 2 on the power play, 6 penalty minutes, 15:19 a night and plus-14, with 2 game-winners. He took 53.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 996 minutes, the 78th percentile, and his ice went 37-25 against an expectation of 38.29-33.46.

A goal of finishing below what the chances were worth and eight goals of goaltending above them. Twenty-seven points is his lowest total in a full season since 2017-18.

The Finesse Game

189 attempts at a median of 22 feet with 47 per cent of them from inside twenty and 23 per cent from beyond forty, 116 of those on goal, converted at 9.2 per cent against a career 9.55 across 1,005 shots.

Ninety-six career goals and 135 assists in 502 games. Nearly half his attempts came from inside twenty feet and he still only scored 11; the location is right and the finishing has never been more than ordinary.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 201 and took 6 penalty minutes in all 82 games.

Eighty-six career penalty minutes in 502 games. Six penalty minutes across a full season is one of the cleanest lines on this club, and it comes from a winger who forechecks without ever fouling anybody.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, seven seasons, and Winnipeg is his second organisation.

A career plus-18 in 502 games from a man nobody drafted. He came out of college at 24, has played 502 NHL games since, and has never scored fewer than 25 points in a full season.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.07 penalty minutes a game over 82, 1st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “A career plus-18 in 502 games from a man nobody drafted.”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “Nearly half his attempts came from inside twenty feet and he still only scored 11; the location is right and the finishing has never been more than ordinary.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 996 minutes

Expected goals
53.4%
79th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.6%
52nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 25 against. Expected: 38.3 and 33.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
87th
Numbers
79th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
62nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.94 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.35 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.2 mph
59th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 996 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
WPG took 52.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.4% — 1.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 996 minutes at five-on-five — 57th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Josh Morrissey57.3%49.6%53.5%
Dylan DeMelo56.3%51.1%52.0%
Mark Scheifele47.6%57.9%50.2%

57.3% together, 49.6% for him apart and 53.5% for Morrissey apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

189 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.