This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | ARI | 82 | 20 | 24 | 44 | -13 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 151 | 13.3 | 15:49 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 82 | 20 | 24 | 44 | -13 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 151 | 13.3 | 15:49 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
82 games, 20 goals and 24 assists for 44 points, 3 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 18 penalty minutes, 15:49 a night and minus-13, with 2 game-winners. He took 48.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,088 minutes, the 44th percentile, and his ice went 40-48 against an expectation of 41.88-44.02.
Two goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and four more conceded than they called for. Twenty goals in all 82 games at 19 is the whole story and the minus-13 is not.
The Finesse Game
213 attempts at a median of 28 feet with 36 per cent of them from inside twenty and 25 per cent from beyond forty, 147 of those on goal, converted at 13.3 per cent against the same figure for his career.
Twenty goals and 24 assists in 82 career games. He beats the first man with his feet and takes the puck to the middle rather than around the outside, which at 19 and 191 pounds is a decision that will cost him some nights and win him more.
The Physical Game
He is 6-0 and 191 and took 18 penalty minutes.
Eighteen career penalty minutes in 82 games. He is average-sized and plays through traffic without initiating it; there is more strength to come and the game he already has does not depend on it.
The Intangibles
Third overall in 2022 by Arizona, one season, and 44 points in 82 games.
A career minus-13 in 82 games. He was the third pick in his draft, played every game of his first season at 19, and scored twenty goals doing it on the twenty-seventh-place club in the league.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“He beats the first man with his feet and takes the puck to the middle rather than around the outside, which at 19 and 191 pounds is a decision that will cost him some nights and win him more.”
“He is average-sized and plays through traffic without initiating it; there is more strength to come and the game he already has does not depend on it.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,088 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.8%
- 45th pct
- Shot attempts
- 47.1%
- 29th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 48 against. Expected: 41.9 and 44.0.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 48 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games
- Top speed
- 23.6 mph
- 97th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.37 a game
- Distance
- 2.55 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 85.2 mph
- 40th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with ARI · 1088 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- ARI took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.8% — 0.1 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 1,088 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Guenther | 52.0% | 46.4% | 46.3% |
| J.J. Moser | 56.4% | 45.1% | 48.1% |
| Sean Durzi | 56.5% | 45.3% | 49.8% |
52.0% together, 46.4% for him apart and 46.3% for Guenther apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
213 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.