This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Kyle Connor

Ninety-seven points, 41 goals on 267 shots, and 25 penalty minutes.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	WPG	20	2	3	5	-7	4	0	0	1	24	8.3	12:13
2017-18	WPG	76	31	26	57	+8	16	7	0	7	192	16.2	16:54
2018-19	WPG	82	34	32	66	-7	18	11	1	5	227	15.0	19:15
2019-20	WPG	71	38	35	73	+4	34	9	1	7	239	15.9	21:05
2020-21	WPG	56	26	24	50	-4	12	10	0	5	166	15.7	18:44
2021-22	WPG	79	47	46	93	-3	4	8	3	9	317	14.8	21:47
2022-23	WPG	82	31	49	80	-11	20	8	0	8	273	11.4	20:32
2023-24	WPG	65	34	27	61	-6	6	5	0	10	221	15.4	19:43
2024-25	WPG	82	41	56	97	+17	25	9	2	8	267	15.4	20:24
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	613	284	298	582	-9	139	67	7	60	1926	14.8	19:36

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

41 goals and 56 assists in 82 games — 97 points at 20:24 a night, plus-17, with 9 power-play goals, 2 shorthanded goals and 8 game-winners on 267 shots, and 25 penalty minutes.

It is a career high in points. 51.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 56th percentile. His ice went 62-43 against an expectation of 53.61-51.17 — fourteen goals of scoring missing and twenty-eight fewer conceded than the chances predicted, which is the goaltender.

The Finesse Game

267 attempts, the most on the club, at a median of 28 feet with 28 per cent from inside 20 and 14 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 15.4 per cent. The release is among the quickest in the league and he gets it away from the top of the circle before a goaltender has finished setting.

56 assists is the half people forget. He is a genuine distributor from the left side and 582 points in 613 games is a scorer’s record with a playmaker’s ratio inside it.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 183 and he does not play a physical game at all. He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks against defencemen, and he is not asked to.

25 penalty minutes in 82 games at twenty minutes a night is a very low rate, and 139 penalty minutes in 613 career games is close to the lowest of any first-line winger in the league.

The Intangibles

Seventeenth overall in 2015 out of Michigan and 613 games and 582 points, all of it in one uniform, with a 47-goal season behind him.

He is 28 and had the best scoring season of his career on the best club he has played for. He is a year from unrestricted free agency and this franchise has never replaced a player of this kind.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
15:20 a game at five-on-five, 97th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
64% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 95th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“**56 assists is the half people forget.** He is a genuine distributor from the left side and 582 points in 613 games is a scorer's record with a playmaker's ratio inside it.”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks against defencemen, and he is not asked to.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks against defencemen, and he is not asked to.”
fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step
“**25 penalty minutes in 82 games at twenty minutes a night** is a very low rate, and 139 penalty minutes in 613 career games is close to the lowest of any first-line winger in the league.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,257 minutes

Expected goals: 51.2%; 65th pct
Shot attempts: 48.4%; 37th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 62 for, 43 against. Expected: 53.6 and 51.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

88th

Numbers

65th

The report ranks him 23 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed: 22.6 mph; 69th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.05 a game
Distance: 3.44 miles a game
Hardest shot: 89.3 mph; 75th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1257 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.2% — 0.6 below the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,257 minutes at five-on-five — 89th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Mark Scheifele	51.5%	46.0%	45.3%
Gabriel Vilardi	51.7%	49.1%	43.2%
Josh Morrissey	55.4%	46.9%	53.0%

51.5% together, 46.0% for him apart and 45.3% for Scheifele apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

360 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 43 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.