Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

22

Joey Anderson

Chicago Blackhawks Right Wing

Eight penalty minutes in fifty-five games and a plus-5 on the club that finished thirty-first.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19NJD34437-76011498.212:54
2019-20NJD18426+120002119.113:13
2020-21TOR1000+120000—9:36
2021-22TOR500000000100.08:46
2022-23TOR/CHI38639-800014114.611:42
2023-24CHI5551217+58000578.813:33
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—151192039-81801217810.712:43

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Fifty-five games, 5 goals and 12 assists, 13:33 a night, and plus-5. He took 45.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 677 minutes, the 21st percentile, and his ice went 27-24 against an expectation of 20.87-25.46.

A plus-5 sitting on top of a share in the 4th percentile is the most contradictory pair of numbers on the roster, and the on-ice ledger of 27-24 says which of them to believe.

The Finesse Game

Fifty-seven shots in 55 games at a median of 30 feet, converted at 8.77 per cent. He is not a scorer and 19 goals in 151 career games says so plainly.

Twelve assists in 55 games is a reasonable rate for a fourth-line winger and the puck moves quickly off his stick. Nothing about the offensive game will decide his career.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 207 and finishes his checks without taking penalties for it — 8 penalty minutes in 55 games and 18 in 151 across his career, which is a very low rate for a man who plays this way.

He forechecks hard and gets to the front of the net, and at that weight he holds a wall better than the height suggests.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick in 2016 out of Minnesota, captain of a world junior side, and now on his third organisation at 26. One hundred and fifty-one games across six seasons is the career of a man who keeps being the thirteenth forward.

On a club this thin he played 55 games. On a good one he plays five.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.15 penalty minutes a game over 55, 7th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks hard and gets to the front of the net, and at that weight he holds a wall better than the height suggests.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-0 and 207 and finishes his checks without taking penalties for it — 8 penalty minutes in 55 games and 18 in 151 across his career, which is a very low rate for a man who plays this way.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 677 minutes

Expected goals
45%
21st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.2%
37th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 24 against. Expected: 20.9 and 25.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
6th
Numbers
21st

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 56 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 55 games

Top speed
21.5 mph
22nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.49 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.11 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.5 mph
30th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 677 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CHI took 41.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.0% — 3.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 677 minutes at five-on-five — 30th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jason Dickinson48.5%33.7%44.6%
Alex Vlasic51.8%38.9%44.9%
Colin Blackwell44.9%45.1%42.3%

48.5% together, 33.7% for him apart and 44.6% for Dickinson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

80 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 29% from beyond forty.