Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
58

David Savard

Montreal Canadiens Defense

Seven hundred and ninety-five games, 431 penalty minutes, a Stanley Cup, and nine goals of finishing above expectation.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12CBJ312810016100345.916:34
2012-13CBJ4000-3000010.013:12
2013-14CBJ7051015+228101637.917:50
2014-15CBJ821125360713031129.822:57
2015-16CBJ6542125-7451001223.323:10
2016-17CBJ7461723+33440001354.421:50
2017-18CBJ8141216+2320001452.819:23
2018-19CBJ8281624+19360011246.519:45
2019-20CBJ6801111-335000970.020:41
2020-21CBJ/TBL54156-2724001691.519:50
2021-22MTL6231417-2236000664.520:47
2022-23MTL6231720-1440001634.822:23
2023-24MTL6061824-1240005411.120:14
2024-25 so far
Career79553174227-2143160710854.920:36

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

60 games, 6 goals and 18 assists for 24 points, 24 penalty minutes, 20:14 a night and minus-1. He took 45.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 995 minutes, the 22nd percentile, and his ice went 50-52 against an expectation of 41.34-50.28.

Nine goals of finishing above what the chances were worth — the largest of any defenceman on the roster — and two more conceded than they called for. A minus-1 out of the 22nd percentile of chances is a season that went considerably better than it should have.

The Finesse Game

73 attempts at a median of 54 feet with 73 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 11.1 per cent against a career 4.88.

174 career assists in 795 games. Six goals on fifty-four shots is more than double his career rate and it is the reason his ice outscored its chances. There is no puck-moving here; he gets it off the wall and out and does not carry it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 235 and hits as hard as anybody on this roster.

431 career penalty minutes in 795 games is a moderate rate for a man who plays this way. He clears the crease, blocks shots, kills penalties, and cannot be moved from in front of his own net.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2009 out of St-Hyacinthe, thirteen seasons across three organisations, and 227 points in 795 games. He won the Stanley Cup with Tampa Bay in 2021.

He is 33 and took 20:14 a night on the second-youngest roster in this edition. Whatever this club is building, part of the job is teaching Guhle, Struble, Barron and Xhekaj how to do that, and this is who is doing it.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 995 minutes

Expected goals
45.1%
22nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
42.8%
7th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 52 against. Expected: 41.3 and 50.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
42nd
Numbers
22nd

The report ranks him 20 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 379 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 995 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MTL took 46.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.1% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 995 minutes at five-on-five — 57th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mike Matheson44.8%45.4%44.3%
Jake Evans38.6%48.2%48.6%
Nick Suzuki49.1%43.1%50.2%

44.8% together, 45.4% for him apart and 44.3% for Matheson apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

73 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 34 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 73% from beyond forty.