Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

84

Brent Burns

Colorado Avalanche Defense

82 games at 40 years old, which nobody else in the league can say, on a one-year deal to be the third-pair right shot.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2003-04MIN36156-1012000342.913:29
2005-06MIN7241216-732101735.514:07
2006-07MIN7771825+16263031086.515:48
2007-08MIN82152843+12808041589.523:06
2008-09MIN5981927-7454021475.422:25
2009-10MIN4731720-15322001042.922:22
2010-11MIN80172946-109880317010.025:03
2011-12SJS81112637+8345022015.522:32
2012-13SJS30911200202008111.116:17
2013-14SJS69222648+26342032459.016:49
2014-15SJS82174360-9657022456.923:57
2015-16SJS82274875-5537143537.625:52
2016-17SJS82294776+19408063209.124:52
2017-18SJS82125567-16465023323.625:15
2018-19SJS82166783+13347163005.325:06
2019-20SJS70123345-22345012255.325:25
2020-21SJS5672229-13362011385.126:09
2021-22SJS82104454-15424002034.926:09
2022-23CAR82184361+19444022557.123:13
2023-24CAR82103343+19204101855.421:30
2024-25CAR8262329+7280001743.520:57
2025-26 so far
Career1497261649910+108558834240516.422:22

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 23 assists in 82 games for 29 points with Carolina, plus-7, on 20:57 a night. 174 shots.

82 games at 40 is the line worth stopping on. He has not missed a regular-season game in more than a decade, and there is no second example of that anywhere in the league at any age.

The Finesse Game

The shot is still the shot. A heavy point release he gets through traffic, and a willingness to walk the line for a better angle rather than firing into a shin pad. 174 shots from the blue line is a man who is still a genuine option on a power play.

The puck decisions have got simpler, which is the correct adjustment and not everyone makes it. He moves it early now, takes the safe side of a read, and has stopped trying to be the man who beats a forechecker one-on-one. The first pass is fine. The second option, when the first is covered, is where the age shows.

The Physical Game

6-5 and 228, and he ends plays with reach and weight rather than by chasing hits — a stick in a lane, a body between a man and the net. He can still clear a crease, which is not nothing on a blue line where the two best players cannot.

What has gone is the skating. He is beaten wide by real speed and he cannot recover the way he could, which is the entire reason a former Norris winner is a third-pair signing at 40.

The Intangibles

The iron man of his era, and a man whose durability is not luck: he has played this way for 20 years and never taken a shift off or a season easy.

Colorado is not buying the player he was. It is buying 20 minutes a night from a right shot who will be available in April, on a blue line whose top four is small, one of whom misses games every year. That is a sensible thing to buy, and it will look bad the first night somebody skates around him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,276 minutes

Expected goals
53.7%
84th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
57.5%
96th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 60 for, 59 against. Expected: 60.0 and 51.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
61st
Numbers
84th

The numbers rank him 23 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 237 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with CAR · 1276 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CAR took 55.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.7% — 2.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,276 minutes at five-on-five — 90th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jaccob Slavin55.5%40.1%53.3%
Jordan Martinook55.5%52.7%56.1%
Jordan Staal52.5%54.3%57.8%

55.5% together, 40.1% for him apart and 53.3% for Slavin apart. He was worse away from Slavin, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Slavin did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

271 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 51 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 86% from beyond forty.